Emelec vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
1:1
07/06/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
63.2%
Draw
22.5%
Guaraní Asuncion
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 29.1% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 30.6% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guaraní Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (2.11)
    4.15
    (3.21)
    6.51
    (3.52)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: Emelec will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.26%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Emelec is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    03.05.2023 Guaraní Asuncion - Emelec 1:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2