Emelec vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/06/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
63.2%
Draw
22.5%
Guaraní Asuncion
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 29.1% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 30.6% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guaraní Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (2.11)
    4.15
    (3.21)
    6.51
    (3.52)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: Emelec will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.26%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Emelec is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    03.05.2023 Guaraní Asuncion - Emelec 1:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)