Result
2:2
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DSports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (316/374) | 79% (239/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (316/374) | 79% (239/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (86/129) | 70% (45/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/41) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Martinez L. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,
- 37', 1 - 0, Hoyos D. ⚽,
- 45+1', Perez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mendieta W. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez F. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 57', Prost M. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
- 58', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Diellos D. ⚽, Abrego V. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽, Manzur A. (A),
- 64', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
- 69', Rojas J. ↓, Preciado C. ↑,
- 75', Cantero A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 80', Pavia L. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
- 80', Diellos D. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 81', Hoyos D. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 86', Azogue P. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Fernandez D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
68.5% | Draw
19.4% | Guaraní Asuncion
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guaraní Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Potosí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.58) |
4.79 ↑
(4.12) |
7.78 ↑
(5.19) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Potosí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Potosí?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
10.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Potosí
2:0
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
