Nacional Potosí vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
2:2
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.22
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2215
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
84% (316/374)79% (239/304)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.601.06
Total shots
2215
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
127
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
97
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
97
Passes
84% (316/374)79% (239/304)
Long passes
55% (31/56)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)70% (45/64)
Crosses
24% (10/41)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.25
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
79
Tackles
83% (10/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4335
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.061.60
Goals prevented
-0.94-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Martinez L. , Pinatares B. ,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Hoyos D. ,
  • 45+1', Perez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mendieta W. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 46', Fernandez F. , Pereira A. ,
  • 57', Prost M. , Guerra S. ,
  • 58', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Diellos D. , Abrego V. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 1, Fernandez D. , Manzur A. (A),
  • 64', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Barrientos N. ,
  • 69', Rojas J. , Preciado C. ,
  • 75', Cantero A. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 80', Pavia L. , Torres S. ,
  • 80', Diellos D. , Alvarez W. ,
  • 81', Hoyos D. , Azogue P. ,
  • 86', Azogue P. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Fernandez D. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Potosí
68.5%
Draw
19.4%
Guaraní Asuncion
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 22.7% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 22.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.
  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guaraní Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Potosí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.58)
    4.79
    (4.12)
    7.78
    (5.19)
    6.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Nacional Potosí is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Potosí 2:0
    Latest results of Nacional Potosí
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2