Nacional Potosí vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí).

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DSports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	1.22
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
22	15
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	5
Passes
84% (316/374)	79% (239/304)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.60	1.06
Total shots
22	15
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
12	7
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
9	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
36	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
84% (316/374)	79% (239/304)
Long passes
55% (31/56)	38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)	70% (45/64)
Crosses
24% (10/41)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	0.25
Throw-ins
25	16
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
83% (10/12)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
43	35
Clearances
16	44
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.06	1.60
Goals prevented
-0.94	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Martinez L. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Hoyos D. ⚽,
45+1', Perez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mendieta W. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
46', Fernandez F. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
57', Prost M. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
58', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Diellos D. ⚽, Abrego V. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽, Manzur A. (A),
64', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
69', Rojas J. ↓, Preciado C. ↑,
75', Cantero A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
80', Pavia L. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
80', Diellos D. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
81', Hoyos D. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
86', Azogue P. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Fernandez D. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nacional Potosí
68.5%

Draw
19.4%

Guaraní Asuncion
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.3%

18.4%

Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.58)	4.79 ↑ (4.12)	7.78 ↑ (5.19)	6.4% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Nacional Potosí is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Nacional Potosí is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Guaraní Asuncion?

Nacional Potosí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Potosí?

Guaraní Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:

10.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Potosí 2:0

Latest results of Nacional Potosí

30.04.2025 Blooming - Nacional Potosí 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann 1:2 ✺

22.04.2025 Boston River - Nacional Potosí 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Nacional Potosí 2:2 ✺

14.04.2025 Nacional Potosí - Guabirá 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion

02.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion 0:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion 2:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Independiente 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:3 ✺

16.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo 0:1 ✺

Draw

2026

Final

1	Nacional Asuncion	Recoleta
2	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
3	Alianza Atl.	Deportivo Garcilaso
4	Cienciano	FBC Melgar
5	Montevideo City	Defensor Sp.
6	Boston River	Racing Montevideo
7	Puerto Cabello	Monagas
8	Caracas	Metropolitanos
9	U. De Chile	Palestino
10	Cobresal	A. Italiano
11	Atl. Nacional	Millonarios
12	America De Cali	Bucaramanga
13	Independiente	Guabira
14	Blooming	SA Bulo Bulo
15	Dep. Cuenca	Libertad
16	Orense	Macara