Guaraní Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
29.1%
Draw
29.4%
Olimpia Asuncion
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 26.6% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.6% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.52)
    3.13
    (3.51)
    2.24
    (2.57)
    7.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.
    • Guaraní is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Olimpia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:1
    26.10.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:3
    10.08.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 4:0
    06.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1
    26.01.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion1183014:6827
    2Cerro Porteno1162314:9520
    3Nacional Asuncion1154218:11719
    4Libertad Asuncion1152418:10817
    5Rubio Nu114349:10-115
    6Guarani1034317:13413
    7Ameliano103439:7213
    8Recoleta1134413:14-113
    9Sportivo Trinidense102539:10-111
    10Sp. Luqueno1132610:14-411
    112 de Mayo102356:15-99
    12San Lorenzo110477:25-184

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )