Result
0:2
21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (168/272) | 73% (267/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (168/272) | 73% (267/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/74) | 47% (34/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (51/116) | 61% (66/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 63% (5/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Delmas E. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fernandez D. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 46', Manzur A. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 49', Delmas E. 🟨,
- 56', Delmas E. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez F. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 67', Llano J. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 70', Sanchez R. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
- 71', Ferreira S. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
- 74', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 77', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 78', Rodriguez D. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Gamarra M. ⚽,
- 90+5', Lopez M. 🟥,
- 90+6', Vargas G. 🟥,
- 90+6', Benitez R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Lezcano R. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 90+7', Alcaraz A. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
- 90+9', Torales R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
28.3% | Draw
30.7% | Olimpia Asuncion
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.52) |
3 ↓
(3.51) |
2.26 ↓
(2.57) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.
- Guaraní has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olimpia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Olimpia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
25.01.2026
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
26.10.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:3
10.08.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
4:0
06.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:1
26.01.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
