Guaraní Asuncion vs Sportivo Carapeguá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Paraguay Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá
Result
1:0
24/10/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PARAGUAY: Copa Paraguay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
02
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Marecos G. 🟨,
  • 42', Parris M. 🟥,
  • 43', Leguizamon O. , Cabrera A. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Gonzalez W. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marecos G. , Martinez M. ,
  • 46', Riveros P. , Cuello A. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez W. , Santacruz J. ,
  • 67', Aquino M. , Ramos I. ,
  • 74', Cantero A. , Ibarrola W. ,
  • 80', Ramos E. , Torales J. ,
  • 80', Caceres J. , Montiel A. ,
  • 84', Sanabria S. 🟨,
  • 85', Prieto R. , Benitez Cabrera A. J. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Arce A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
58.7%
Draw
26.2%
Sportivo Carapeguá
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 27.6% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 28.3% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaraní Asuncion's performance.
  • Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.75)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    6.08
    (4.5)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá?
  • Users Predictions: Guaraní Asuncion will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2.
    • Guaraní is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carapeguá in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guaraní is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Guaraní to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Latest results of Sportivo Carapeguá
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1RecoletaCerro Porteno2 : 3
    2Club Sportivo LimpenoSol de America0 : 2
    3Encarnacion FCTacuary1 : 0
    4Deportivo SantaniLibertad Asuncion0 : 1
    512 de Octubre SDSportivo Trinidense1 : 3
    6Salto del GuairaSp. Luqueno1 : 3
    7Guarani Paraguari24 de Setiembre1 : 2
    8Martin LedesmaGuairena0 : 1
    9ColegialesOlimpia Asuncion0 : 3
    103 de FebreroGeneral Caballero JLM1 : 0
    11Cristobal Colon FCNacional Asuncion0 : 5
    12Atl. Tembetary2 de Mayo0 : 2
    13Benjamin AcevalAmeliano1 : 2
    14Sport UnionGuarani0 : 7
    15Independiente FBCSportivo Iteno0 : 1
    16Sp. CarapeguaFernando de la Mora2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerro PortenoSol de America1 : 2
    2Encarnacion FCLibertad Asuncion0 : 2
    3Sportivo TrinidenseSp. Luqueno2 : 3
    424 de SetiembreGuairena0 : 1
    5Olimpia Asuncion3 de Febrero2 : 0
    6Nacional Asuncion2 de Mayo2 : 1
    7AmelianoGuarani1 : 2
    8Sportivo ItenoSp. Carapegua0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Sol de AmericaLibertad Asuncion0 : 1
    2Sp. LuquenoGuairena1 : 0
    3Olimpia AsuncionNacional Asuncion0 : 2
    4GuaraniSp. Carapegua1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Libertad AsuncionSp. Luqueno2 : 0
    2Nacional AsuncionGuarani2 : 1

    Final
    1Libertad AsuncionNacional Asuncion1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Sp. LuquenoGuarani1 : 0