Guarany de Bagé vs São Luiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
24
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 🟥,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Marcio Jonatan ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Felipe Tontini ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Guarany de Bagé
41.3%
Draw
31.4%
São Luiz
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 31% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.22)
    2.86
    (2.8)
    3.31
    (3.39)
    11%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarany de Bagé (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • São Luiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guarany de Bagé might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz were as follows:
    03.05.2025 São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé 1:0
    23.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz 0:2
    20.02.2025 São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé 0:1
    15.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz 0:1
    24.02.2024 Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz 1:0
    Latest results of São Luiz
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara ✔ 1375126:91726
    2Tuna Luso ✔ 1373322:101224
    3Manaus1355320:17320
    4Aguia De Maraba1354421:13819
    5Trem1353523:23018
    6Independencia1353516:18-218
    7GAS1342716:23-714
    8Humaita13111112:43-314


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1375122:13926
    2Imperatriz ✔ 1363414:13121
    3Sampaio Correa ✔ 1355316:10620
    4Iguatu1352614:14017
    5Maranhao1337317:12516
    6Tocantinopolis1336411:16-515
    7Parnahyba1335514:19-514
    8Maracana1323811:22-119


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central SC ✔ 1374215:7825
    2America RN ✔ 1373319:91024
    3Santa Cruz ✔ 1373317:10724
    4Horizonte1352614:15-117
    5Ferroviario1352615:19-417
    6Santa Cruz de Natal1342711:19-814
    7Treze PB134187:17-1013
    8Sousa1333710:12-212


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1384124:81628
    2Lagarto ✔ 1372420:15523
    3Juazeirense ✔ 1364312:12022
    4Sergipe1354415:10519
    5Jequie1344515:15016
    6Uniao Carmolandense1344513:16-316
    7Barcelona132569:19-1011
    8SC Penedense130584:17-135


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 1392230:111929
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1374221:14725
    3Luverdense ✔ 1364313:12122
    4Mixto ✔ 1356219:13621
    5Capital1345413:10317
    6Goiania1324712:21-910
    7Goianesia1315711:20-98
    8Porto Velho131489:27-187


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa ✔ 1383219:13627
    2Rio Branco ES ✔ 1372416:9723
    3Marica1354414:11319
    4Agua Santa1353518:18018
    5Pouso Alegre1352613:16-317
    6Porto Vitoria1344513:12116
    7Nova Iguacu1335512:15-314
    8Boavista132389:20-119


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1393121:61530
    2Goiatuba ✔ 1354420:16419
    3Cianorte ✔ 1354420:17319
    4Cascavel1346313:14-118
    5Uberlandia1344520:18216
    6Operario MS1335513:20-714
    7Monte Azul1325611:17-611
    8Itabirito1317510:20-1010


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1382320:91126
    2EC Sao Jose ✔ 1374220:101025
    3Joinville ✔ 1363410:9121
    4Marcilio Dias ✔ 1355316:14220
    5Guarany de Bage134459:13-416
    6Brasil de Pelotas1341810:12-213
    7Sao Luiz1340910:20-1012
    8Azuriz133376:14-812

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Tuna Luso is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sampaio Correa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    America RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Juazeirense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Mixto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Goiatuba is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Cianorte is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    EC Sao Jose is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Joinville is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Marcilio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)