Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City
Result
1:0
09/10/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
46.2%
Draw
28.9%
Guayaquil City
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 27.2% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Loja's form might have worsened.
  • Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Loja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guayaquil City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.74)
    3.21
    (3.37)
    3.73
    (4.58)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Guayaquil City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Libertad is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City were as follows:
    06.05.2023 Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja 1:1
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of Guayaquil City
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle26168246:202656
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito26128641:251644
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6U. Catolica26109748:331539
    7Aucas261151035:37-238
    8Orense25115927:29-238
    9Emelec2698924:29-535
    10EL Nacional26871131:35-431
    11Macara26791025:27-230
    12Delfin25610924:37-1328
    13Manta265101131:43-1225
    14Tecnico U26671324:37-1325
    15Vinotinto26661429:37-824
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
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          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )