Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (342/388) | 87% (398/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (342/388) | 87% (398/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (37/53) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (137/164) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 3.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Medina J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Mancilla P. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Deyverson (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 45+8', Villamil G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Valle G. 🟨,
- 58', Pretell J. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 58', Redes R. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 69', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 70', Deyverson ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 70', Quintero J. ↓, Ade R. ↑,
- 72', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 77', Quinonez L. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 84', Estrada M. 🟨,
- 88', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 90', Gonzalez P. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
64.7% | Draw
20.9% | Guayaquil City
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
LDU Quito - Guayaquil City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.37) |
4.41 ↑
(4.4) |
6.45 ↓
(7.69) |
8.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Guayaquil City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Guayaquil City (6.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4.
- In recent matches, LDU Quito has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guayaquil City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:14. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:4. (average 2.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Guayaquil City?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against LDU Quito?
Guayaquil City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Guayaquil City were as follows:
04.09.2023
LDU Quito
-
Guayaquil City
2:0
09.04.2023
Guayaquil City
-
LDU Quito
1:2
15.10.2022
LDU Quito
-
Guayaquil City
2:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
