SPAL vs Gubbio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B SPAL - Gubbio
Result
3:0
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
09
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
09
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Arena M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Parigini V. ,
  • 58', Parigini V. , D'Orazio L. ,
  • 60', Rosaia G. , Tommasini C. ,
  • 60', Faggi F. , Proietti M. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Spini C. ,
  • 66', Paghera F. 🟨,
  • 67', Di Massimo A. , David A. ,
  • 67', Spina M. , Maisto F. ,
  • 68', Molina J. I. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 68', Paghera F. , Bassoli A. ,
  • 78', D'Avino L. , Rovaglia P. ,
  • 81', Spini C. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 82', Ntenda J. , Rao E. ,

Chances of winning


SPAL
46.7%
Draw
27.5%
Gubbio
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 24.9% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 24.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • SPAL - Gubbio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.99)
    3.34
    (3.68)
    3.56
    (3.15)
    9%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for SPAL - Gubbio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
    • SPAL is Serie C ~ Play Out
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • SPAL will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in SPAL: Karlsson O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Gubbio: Franchini S. (Inactive) Giovannini R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in SPAL: Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Gubbio were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Gubbio - SPAL 1:1
    07.04.2024 SPAL - Gubbio 3:0
    02.12.2023 Gubbio - SPAL 0:0
    Latest results of SPAL
    23.04.2025 Vis Pesaro - SPAL 1:1
    12.04.2025 SPAL - Pontedera 1:1
    06.04.2025 Sassari Torres - SPAL 0:0
    30.03.2025 SPAL - Legnago Salus 1:1
    23.03.2025 Pineto - SPAL 3:2
    Latest results of Gubbio
    23.04.2025 Gubbio - Milan Futuro 3:2
    13.04.2025 Pescara - Gubbio 2:0
    05.04.2025 Gubbio - Ascoli 0:0
    29.03.2025 Carpi - Gubbio 0:2
    23.03.2025 Gubbio - Virtus Entella 0:2
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ravenna11003:213
    2Arezzo11001:013
    3Sambenedettese11001:013
    4Torres11001:013
    5Gubbio11001:013
    6Livorno11001:013
    7Ascoli10100:001
    8Perugia10100:001
    9Vis Pesaro10101:101
    10Carpi10101:101
    11Pianese10100:001
    12Pineto10101:101
    13Juventus U2310101:101
    14Guidonia10100:001
    15Rimini10010:1-10
    16Ternana10010:1-10
    17Forli10010:1-10
    18Pontedera10010:1-10
    19Campobasso10012:3-10
    20Bra10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation