Result
0:3
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (472/565) | 73% (233/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.87 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (472/565) | 73% (233/318) |
| Long passes |
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| 54% (45/84) | 32% (12/38) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 61% (62/101) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (8/24) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.74 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 35 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 71% (20/28) |
| Duels won |
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| 67 | 49 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.56 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.44 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Larose A. ⚽, Billemaz C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Venot P. 🟨,
- 59', Ahile T. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
- 59', Abdallah A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, Larose A. ⚽, Tiendrebeogo J. (A),
- 64', 0 - 3, Toure B. ⚽,
- 65', Kielt S. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
- 69', Tiendrebeogo J. ↓, Hbouch A. ↑,
- 69', Venot P. ↓, Casadei A. ↑,
- 76', Louiserre D. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 76', Nair S. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
- 77', Larose A. ↓, Paris Q. ↑,
- 82', Rowe T. 🟨,
- 85', Toure B. ↓, N'Sakala F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guingamp 43.2% | Draw 28.9% | Annecy 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.Annecy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Annecy's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Annecy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guingamp - Annecy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (1.81) |
3.23 ↓ (3.25) |
3.39 ↓ (4.18) |
6.7% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Annecy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 50%). Annecy (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Annecy (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Annecy (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Guingamp will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Annecy (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
- Guingamp has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Guingamp is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
N'Landu D.
(Inactive)
Ortola A.
(Elbow Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sidibe K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Annecy: Delphis T.
(Inactive)
Escales F.
(Inactive)
Jusseron-Veniere K.
(Ankle Injury)
Koutoune H.
(Inactive)
N'Sakala F.
(Inactive)
Pajot V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Annecy?
Guingamp has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Annecy won against Guingamp?
Annecy has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Annecy were as follows:
10.01.2025
Annecy
-
Guingamp
1:4
20.09.2024
Guingamp
-
Annecy
2:2
03.02.2024
Guingamp
-
Annecy
1:4
18.03.2023
Annecy
-
Guingamp
1:1
08.10.2022
Guingamp
-
Annecy
0:4
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National