Annecy vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.140.97
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
47
Passes
70% (196/279)86% (515/600)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.140.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.27
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
811
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
186
Passes
70% (196/279)86% (515/600)
Long passes
29% (16/56)65% (61/94)
Passes in final third
46% (31/67)76% (127/168)
Crosses
13% (1/8)31% (11/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.93
Throw ins
1218
Fouls
618
Tackles
67% (12/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
3611
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.271.38
Goals prevented
0.270.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Patterson T. 🟨,
  • 30', Patterson T. 🟨,
  • 34', Rambaud T. , Kouadio J. ,
  • 45+2', Demouchy A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Sagna A. , Samoura A. ,
  • 55', Demouchy A. , Nair S. ,
  • 56', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 61', Jacob V. , Casadei A. ,
  • 62', Dion M. S. , Gomes A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Casadei A. ,
  • 68', Demoncy Y. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 68', Louiserre D. , Sidibe K. ,
  • 68', Matumona J. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 78', Venot P. , Delphis T. ,

Chances of winning


Annecy
32.4%
Draw
29.2%
Guingamp
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.8% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Annecy - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.65)
    3.19
    (3.24)
    2.44
    (2.6)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Annecy - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Annecy: Koutoune H. (Inactive) Larose A. (Yellow Cards) Makutungu C. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Concussion) Toure B. (Knee Injury) Veillon M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Demoncy Y. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Annecy - Guingamp were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Guingamp - Annecy 0:3
    10.01.2025 Annecy - Guingamp 1:4
    20.09.2024 Guingamp - Annecy 2:2
    03.02.2024 Guingamp - Annecy 1:4
    18.03.2023 Annecy - Guingamp 1:1
    Latest results of Annecy
    21.03.2026 Saint-Étienne - Annecy 4:0
    16.03.2026 Annecy - Troyes 1:2
    07.03.2026 Le Mans - Annecy 3:0
    27.02.2026 Bastia - Annecy 0:2
    20.02.2026 Annecy - Red Star 2:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    21.03.2026 Guingamp - Reims 0:2
    13.03.2026 Guingamp - Amiens 1:0
    06.03.2026 Laval - Guingamp 2:2
    28.02.2026 Guingamp - Rodez 0:0
    23.02.2026 Le Mans - Guingamp 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne30176753:312257
    3Le Mans301412445:291654
    4Red Star30149736:30651
    5Reims301212643:281548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque3010101045:37840
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne30991230:38-836
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia303121519:36-1721

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National