Guingamp vs Grenoble – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.901.06
Ball possession
74%26%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
42
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
51
Passes
88% (564/640)75% (175/234)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.901.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.380.68
Total shots
226
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
114
Blocked shots
70
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
90
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
2112
Passes
88% (564/640)75% (175/234)
Long passes
73% (24/33)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
79% (153/194)59% (32/54)
Crosses
17% (7/42)70% (7/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.58
Throw ins
2411
Fouls
1221
Tackles
69% (9/13)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5547
Clearances
845
Interceptions
314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.680.38
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Vidal C. , Mouazan B. (A),
  • 18', Xantippe M. 🟨,
  • 33', Paquiez G. 🟨,
  • 38', Sidibe K. 🟨,
  • 38', Vidal C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Samoura A. , Sagna A. ,
  • 59', Mbemba F. , Demoncy Y. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Mafouta L. ,
  • 70', Djitte M. , Bonnet U. ,
  • 70', Zahui N. , Maurin E. ,
  • 70', Sidibe K. , Ahile T. ,
  • 75', Mouazan B. , Bernadou L. ,
  • 76', Xantippe M. , Diba S. ,
  • 76', Sissoko A. , Matumona J. ,
  • 84', Nair S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
54.8%
Draw
25.2%
Grenoble
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 23.9% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 22.8% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Guingamp - Grenoble Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.68)
    3.74
    (3.9)
    4.7
    (4.54)
    6.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Grenoble?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 44.1%94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Guingamp (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guingamp will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.
    • In recent matches, Guingamp has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grenoble has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Guingamp is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Lallias A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Grenoble were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 0:0
    21.02.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 1:1
    02.11.2024 Guingamp - Grenoble 3:0
    30.03.2024 Grenoble - Guingamp 0:0
    07.10.2023 Guingamp - Grenoble 2:2
    Latest results of Guingamp
    03.04.2026 Annecy - Guingamp 1:0
    21.03.2026 Guingamp - Reims 0:2
    13.03.2026 Guingamp - Amiens 1:0
    06.03.2026 Laval - Guingamp 2:2
    28.02.2026 Guingamp - Rodez 0:0
    Latest results of Grenoble
    03.04.2026 Grenoble - Clermont 2:2
    20.03.2026 Laval - Grenoble 3:2
    14.03.2026 Grenoble - Saint-Étienne 0:0
    06.03.2026 Rodez - Grenoble 1:0
    27.02.2026 Grenoble - Boulogne 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne30176753:312257
    3Le Mans301412445:291654
    4Red Star30149736:30651
    5Reims301212643:281548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque3010101045:37840
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne30991230:38-836
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia303121519:36-1721

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National