Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 5
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/412) | 88% (441/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/412) | 88% (441/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 47% (15/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (65/81) | 67% (77/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 42% (10/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Gomis D. ⚽, Koffi E. (A),
- 35', N'Landu D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', N'Landu D. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
- 64', Abdallah A. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 64', Ott G. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 67', Mouanga Y. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
- 67', Mincarelli L. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 74', Hatchi J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
- 80', El Hannach N. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 81', Mbuku N. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
- 82', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 84', Pays N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Orakpo V. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3uppe5a8
Chances of winning
Guingamp
36% | Draw
28.2% | Montpellier
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3%)
Guingamp - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.37) |
3.33 ↑
(3.28) |
2.65 ↓
(2.77) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sagna A.
(Injury)
Sidibe K.
(Muscle Injury)
Sissoko A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Leg Injury)
Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Junior Pereira da Silva E.
(Injury)
Michel M.
(Broken rib)
- There are questionable in Montpellier: Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Montpellier?
Guingamp has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Guingamp?
Montpellier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Montpellier were as follows:
Latest results of Guingamp
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Red Star | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Troyes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Pau FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Amiens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Clermont | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Annecy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Reims | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Rodez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Laval | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dunkerque | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Bastia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
