Guingamp vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.88
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (347/412)88% (441/503)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.11
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
178
Passes
84% (347/412)88% (441/503)
Long passes
47% (31/66)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
80% (65/81)67% (77/115)
Crosses
25% (5/20)42% (10/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.38
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
817
Tackles
69% (9/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3117
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.110.40
Goals prevented
0.11-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Gomis D. ⚽, Koffi E. (A),
  • 35', N'Landu D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', N'Landu D. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
  • 64', Abdallah A. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
  • 64', Ott G. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
  • 67', Mouanga Y. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
  • 67', Mincarelli L. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
  • 74', Hatchi J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
  • 80', El Hannach N. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
  • 81', Mbuku N. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
  • 82', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
  • 84', Pays N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Orakpo V. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3uppe5a8

Chances of winning


Guingamp
36%		Draw
28.2%		Montpellier
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 27.6% 32.8%

Guingamp - Montpellier Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.58 ↑
(2.37)		 3.33 ↑
(3.28)		 2.65 ↓
(2.77)		 6.4%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury) Sidibe K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Junior Pereira da Silva E. (Injury) Michel M. (Broken rib)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    Latest results of Guingamp
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3 ✺
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4 ✺
    16.08.2025 Reims - Guingamp 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3 ✺
    01.08.2025 Guingamp - Stade Briochin 3:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2 ✺
    09.08.2025 Montpellier - Red Star 1:1 ✺
    18.07.2025 Montpellier - Rodez 0:2 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

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