Guingamp vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.88
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (347/412)88% (441/503)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.11
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
178
Passes
84% (347/412)88% (441/503)
Long passes
47% (31/66)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
80% (65/81)67% (77/115)
Crosses
25% (5/20)42% (10/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.38
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
817
Tackles
69% (9/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3117
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.110.40
Goals prevented
0.11-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Mincarelli L. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Gomis D. ⚽, Koffi E. (A),
  • 35', N'Landu D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', N'Landu D. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
  • 64', Abdallah A. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
  • 64', Ott G. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
  • 67', Mouanga Y. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
  • 67', Mincarelli L. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
  • 74', Hatchi J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
  • 80', El Hannach N. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
  • 81', Mbuku N. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
  • 82', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
  • 84', Pays N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Orakpo V. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3uppe5a8

Chances of winning


Guingamp
36%		Draw
28.2%		Montpellier
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 27.6% 32.8%

Guingamp - Montpellier Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.58 ↑
(2.37)		 3.33 ↑
(3.28)		 2.65 ↓
(2.77)		 6.4%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury) Sidibe K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Junior Pereira da Silva E. (Injury) Michel M. (Broken rib)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    Latest results of Guingamp
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3 ✺
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4 ✺
    16.08.2025 Reims - Guingamp 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3 ✺
    01.08.2025 Guingamp - Stade Briochin 3:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2 ✺
    09.08.2025 Montpellier - Red Star 1:1 ✺
    18.07.2025 Montpellier - Rodez 0:2 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

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