Guingamp vs Nancy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.77
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (565/633)76% (203/268)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.34
Total shots
157
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
288
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
178
Passes
89% (565/633)76% (203/268)
Long passes
70% (31/44)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
74% (131/176)56% (50/89)
Crosses
23% (6/26)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.77
Throw-ins
3014
Fouls
817
Tackles
57% (4/7)83% (19/23)
Duels won
4443
Clearances
1539
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.341.39
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Ouotro P. ,
  • 58', Hatchi J. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 58', Ott G. , Ourega D. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Gomis D. , Ourega D. (A),
  • 63', Carlier M. 🟨,
  • 67', Bouriaud T. , Bokangu B. ,
  • 67', Bouabdelli W. , Camara B. ,
  • 70', Carlier M. 🟨,
  • 75', Ouotro P. , Evans J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Fdaouch Z. , Evans J. (A),
  • 79', Sidibe K. , N'Landu D. ,
  • 79', Kielt S. , Sagna A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Mafouta L. , Ourega D. (A),
  • 90+2', Ourega D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gomis D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fdaouch Z. , Maouassa F. ,
  • 90+7', Fernandez N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
31.2%
Draw
30.4%
Nancy
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 25.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 24.7% 26.5%

Guingamp - Nancy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.45
(1.97)
3.4
(3.6)
2.67
(3.35)
-4.1%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Nancy?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
    • Guingamp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nancy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guingamp will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nancy: Dabasse A. (Inactive) Mendy E. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nancy: Ouotro P. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    Latest results of Guingamp
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    20.09.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 5:2
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    Latest results of Nancy
    26.09.2025 Nancy - Reims 0:1
    23.09.2025 Annecy - Nancy 1:2
    19.09.2025 Nancy - Red Star 0:1
    12.09.2025 Troyes - Nancy 3:0
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National