Result
0:3
19/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/467) | 87% (476/550) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/467) | 87% (476/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/141) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Gomis D. 🟨,
- 42', Bamba R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 62', Sagna A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 62', Ott G. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
- 62', Bamba R. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Nair S. ⚽, Demoncy Y. (A),
- 71', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez N. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Mafouta L. ⚽, Samoura A. (A),
- 80', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Samoura A. ⚽,
- 85', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 85', Ourega D. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
- 86', Matumona J. 🟥,
- 90+1', Bouriaud T. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nancy
35.4% | Draw
29.4% | Guingamp
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Nancy - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.49) |
3.17 ↓
(3.23) |
2.65 ↓
(2.78) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nancy - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 35.7% – 80.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Nancy (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nancy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nancy has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Maouassa F.
(Injury)
Sidibe O.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Abdallah A.
(Inactive)
Hatchi J.
(Inactive)
Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Guingamp?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Nancy?
Guingamp has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Guingamp were as follows:
03.10.2025
Guingamp
-
Nancy
2:2
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
