Nancy vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy).

Ligue 2 - Round 19
Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.18	0.97
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
6	6
Shots on target
0	4
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	0
Passes
83% (388/467)	87% (476/550)
Yellow cards
1	1
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.18	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.53
Total shots
6	6
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
2	0
Shots inside the box
0	5
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	0
Touches in opposition box
7	10
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
12	13
Passes
83% (388/467)	87% (476/550)
Long passes
46% (26/57)	49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
67% (95/141)	62% (51/82)
Crosses
11% (2/18)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	0.58
Throw ins
19	18
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
60% (9/15)	56% (5/9)
Duels won
40	37
Clearances
12	19
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
1.53	0.00
Goals prevented
-1.47	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gomis D. 🟨,
42', Bamba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', Sagna A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
62', Ott G. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
62', Bamba R. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Nair S. ⚽, Demoncy Y. (A),
71', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
71', Fernandez N. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Mafouta L. ⚽, Samoura A. (A),
80', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Samoura A. ⚽,
85', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
85', Ourega D. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
86', Matumona J. 🟥,
90+1', Bouriaud T. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nancy
35.4%

Draw
29.4%

Guingamp
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Nancy - Guingamp Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.49)	3.17 ↓ (3.23)	2.65 ↓ (2.78)	7.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nancy - Guingamp?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 35.7% – 80.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nancy (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Nancy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Nancy has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C. (Injury) Kenzo N. (Injury) Maouassa F. (Injury) Sidibe O. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury)
There will not play in Guingamp: Abdallah A. (Inactive) Hatchi J. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Guingamp?

Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Nancy?

Guingamp has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Guingamp were as follows:

03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2

Latest results of Nancy

11.01.2026 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Amiens - Nancy 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Nancy - Clermont 1:0 ✺

05.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Guingamp

03.01.2026 Guingamp - Boulogne 3:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Guingamp - Laval 0:1 ✺

12.12.2025 Rodez - Guingamp 2:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Guingamp - Annecy 0:3 ✺

29.11.2025 Ancienne Château-Gontier - Guingamp 0:4 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	44:27	17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	46:29	17	50
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	37:26	11	47
4	Red Star	27	12	8	7	31:27	4	44
5	Reims	27	11	10	6	39:26	13	43
6	Rodez	27	11	10	6	34:32	2	43
7	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	33:25	8	41
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	42:29	13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	35:30	5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	38:38	0	39
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	40:44	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	30:38	-8	33
13	Grenoble	27	6	12	9	24:30	-6	30
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	30:36	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	24:40	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	30:46	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	21:39	-18	20
18	Bastia	27	3	10	14	14:30	-16	19

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National