Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Result
4:2
06/07/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 18

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.10
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
86% (325/380)87% (400/458)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.12
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
178
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
86% (325/380)87% (400/458)
Long passes
23% (10/43)36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)68% (91/133)
Crosses
62% (8/13)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.30
Throw-ins
1018
Fouls
1316
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.122.06
Goals prevented
-0.88-1.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Cai M. , Diao Jiahao (A),
  • 9', Sun Xinkai 🟨,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Fan Ruiwei , Cai M. (A),
  • 18', Liang Huan , Chen Chenzhenyang ,
  • 31', 2 - 1, Kong Yinquan , Sun Xinkai (A),
  • 45+2', 3 - 1, Liu Jiqiang , Cai M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wu Junjie , Zheng Shengxiong ,
  • 46', Wang H. , Sun Enming ,
  • 46', Huang Peizhao , Chen Yuhao ,
  • 46', Shi Yiyi 🟨,
  • 54', 4 - 1, Fan Ruiwei , Li Jiaheng (A),
  • 58', Sun Enming 🟨,
  • 70', Liu Jiqiang , Liang Junheng ,
  • 70', Huang Yiwen , Li Zhuoxuan ,
  • 75', Cai M. , Yang Youxian ,
  • 77', Shi Yiyi , Li Xi'nan ,
  • 86', Diao Jiahao 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Kong Yinquan (Pen),
  • 90', Diao Jiahao , Li Bin ,
  • 90+5', Lu Wentao 🟨,
  • 90+9', Zheng Shengxiong 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟥,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
30.9%
Draw
28.7%
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 32.3% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.
  • Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.27)
    3.14
    (2.9)
    2.23
    (3.17)
    10.9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ))
    • Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangzhou Dandelion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou ✔ 20125326:111541
    2Nantong Haimen20107338:231537
    3Changchun Xidu20106419:11836
    4Shandong Taishan B2098332:201235
    5Jiangxi Lushan20104623:18534
    6Hangzhou Linping2086623:25-230
    7Shanghai Port B ✔ 2067722:20225
    8Taian Tiankuang ✔ 20551019:25-620
    9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔ 2047915:31-1619
    10Lanzhou Longyuan ✔ 2047919:29-1019
    11Hubei Istar ✔ 20361122:36-1415
    12Beijing Technology ✔ 20421419:28-914


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 20163143:93451
    2Shenzhen ✔ 20126225:121342
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B20114535:161937
    4Guizhou Zhucheng20113631:24736
    5Guangzhou Dandelion20105530:171335
    6Wuhan Three Towns B ✔ 2085721:17429
    7Wenzhou Professional ✔ 2058718:22-423
    8Ganzhou Ruishi ✔ 20311617:27-1020
    9Kunming City Star ✔ 20461014:27-1318
    10Guangdong Mingtu ✔ 20371017:30-1316
    11Quanzhou Yassin ✔ 20261210:27-1712
    12Guangxi Lanhang ✔ 2006149:42-336

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )