Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 78% (241/310) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 78% (241/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/131) | 59% (45/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Sego M. 🟨,
- 19', Adu Adjei D. 🟨,
- 45', Petrovic D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fruk T. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 46', Sarlija Z. ↓, Maresic D. ↑,
- 62', Gojak A. ↓, Legbo D. ↑,
- 62', Krovinovic F. ↓, Pajaziti A. ↑,
- 76', Guillamon H. ↓, Skoko N. ↑,
- 76', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 77', Vignato S. ↓, Morchiladze T. ↑,
- 77', Dantas T. ↓, Husic A. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Livaja M. ⚽, Maresic D. (A),
- 79', Sigur N. 🟥,
- 82', Sego M. ↓, Hodak L. ↑,
- 87', Radeljic S. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 90+2', Hodak L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Orec A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
47.6% | Draw
28.3% | Rijeka
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Hajduk Split - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.07) |
3.29 ↑
(3.25) |
3.83 ↑
(3.57) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Rijeka will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 50%). Rijeka (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Rijeka (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hajduk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Inactive)
Durdov B.
(Inactive)
Ivusic I.
(Injury)
Rebic A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Bodetic N.
(Injury)
Juric A.
(Yellow Cards)
Lasickas J.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Rijeka?
Hajduk Split has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Hajduk Split?
Rijeka has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Rijeka were as follows:
22.11.2025
Rijeka
-
Hajduk Split
5:0
31.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
2:2
18.05.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
2:1
26.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
1:3
15.12.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
2:2
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
