Result
2:2
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 5
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (397/454) | 77% (236/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (397/454) | 77% (236/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 53% (35/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (73/101) | 59% (50/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/35) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', Menalo L. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Menalo L. ⚽,
- 35', Butic S. 🟨,
- 39', Dantas T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Pukstas R. ⚽, Sego M. (A),
- 45+6', Devetak M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Butic S. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 53', Jankovic N. 🟨,
- 53', Menalo L. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 54', Dantas T. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 2, Bogojevic B. ⚽, Jankovic N. (A),
- 67', Krovinovic F. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,
- 70', Raci R. 🟨,
- 74', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 75', Fruk T. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 78', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 78', Sego M. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 82', Orec A. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 84', Pajaziti A. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Pukstas R. ⚽, Durdov B. (A),
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
55% | Draw
27.5% | Rijeka
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hajduk Split - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.25) |
3.39 ↑
(3.11) |
5.33 ↑
(3.28) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
Hajduk Split will win
(25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hajduk Split will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 1.
- Hajduk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rijeka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hajduk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Guillamon H.
(Inactive)
Rebic A.
(Inactive)
Sigur N.
(Inactive)
Skelin M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hajduk: Capan M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Yankov D.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Hajduk will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Rijeka?
Hajduk Split has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Hajduk Split?
Rijeka has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Rijeka were as follows:
18.05.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
2:1
26.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
1:3
15.12.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Rijeka
2:2
29.09.2024
Rijeka
-
Hajduk Split
0:0
07.04.2024
Rijeka
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
