Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.31
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (295/378)84% (472/562)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.19
Total shots
99
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1226
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
128
Passes
78% (295/378)84% (472/562)
Long passes
41% (24/58)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
57% (43/75)71% (110/155)
Crosses
26% (5/19)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.54
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
812
Tackles
50% (9/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.190.84
Goals prevented
0.19-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Lokonga A. S. ⚽,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Larsson H. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bahoya J. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
  • 60', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
  • 61', Elfadli D. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
  • 70', Balde F. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
  • 71', Kristensen R. ↓, Baum E. ↑,
  • 71', Larsson H. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
  • 82', Knauff A. ↓, Ngankam J. ↑,
  • 84', Baum E. ↓, Buta ↑,
  • 87', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 88', Philippe R. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
39.1%		Draw
27.6%		Eintracht Frankfurt
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 25.7% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 26.1% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eintracht Frankfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.45 ↓
    (2.63)    		 3.45 ↓
    (3.69)    		 2.87 ↑
    (2.49)    		 4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Eintracht will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 18.5% – 61.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Eintracht (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Eintracht (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Eintracht (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • Hamburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Eintracht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Glatzel R. (Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Ankle Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Chaibi F. (International duty) Chandler T. (Ankle Injury) Skhiri E. (International duty) Theate A. (Yellow Cards) Wahi E. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Ramos G. (Injury) Vieira F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eintracht: Burkardt J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    13.12.2025 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen 3:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    13.12.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg 1:0 ✺
    09.12.2025 Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺
    26.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Atalanta 0:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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