Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN 3, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaMNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalySky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.71
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
88% (401/456)82% (315/385)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.851.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
138
Passes
88% (401/456)82% (315/385)
Long passes
47% (18/38)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
81% (106/131)65% (72/111)
Crosses
27% (6/22)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.87
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
813
Tackles
56% (9/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6140
Clearances
3229
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.452.85
Goals prevented
-0.55-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Stage J. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 56', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
  • 59', Soumahoro A. ↓, Muheim M. ↑,
  • 59', Philippe R. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
  • 62', Topp K. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Lokonga A. S. ⚽,
  • 68', Topp K. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
  • 69', Grull M. 🟨,
  • 74', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Vuskovic L. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
  • 78', 2 - 2, Njinmah J. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
  • 79', Puertas C. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
  • 82', Vieira F. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 82', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
  • 87', Grull M. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
  • 90+2', Dompe J. ↓, Balde F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
40.3%		Draw
27.3%		Werder Bremen
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 25.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 26.7% 31.5%

Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.37 ↑
(2.29)		 3.51 ↓
(3.74)		 2.95 ↑
(2.87)		 4.5%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Werder will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.3% – 56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Werder (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Werder has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Stark N. (Red Card) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Alvero S. (Injury) Bittencourt L. (Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Malatini J. (Thigh Injury) Mbangula S. (Injury) Stage J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 2:0 ✺
    07.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 2:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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