Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 13
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN 3, ESPN 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | MNC Soccer Channel |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Sky Sport Max |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (401/456) | 82% (315/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (401/456) | 82% (315/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (18/38) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (106/131) | 65% (72/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Stage J. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 56', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
- 59', Soumahoro A. ↓, Muheim M. ↑,
- 59', Philippe R. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
- 62', Topp K. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Lokonga A. S. ⚽,
- 68', Topp K. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
- 69', Grull M. 🟨,
- 74', Friedl M. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 1, Vuskovic L. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
- 78', 2 - 2, Njinmah J. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
- 79', Puertas C. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
- 82', Vieira F. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 82', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
- 87', Grull M. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
- 90+2', Dompe J. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
40.3% | Draw
27.3% | Werder Bremen
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.29) |
3.51 ↓
(3.74) |
2.95 ↑
(2.87) |
4.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Werder will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.3% – 56.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Werder (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Werder (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
- Hamburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Werder has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R.
(Injury)
Omari W.
(Knee Injury)
Rossing-Lelesiit A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Ankle Injury)
Stark N.
(Red Card)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Hamburg: Elfadli D.
(Groin Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Werder: Alvero S.
(Injury)
Bittencourt L.
(Injury)
Deman O.
(Ankle Injury)
Malatini J.
(Thigh Injury)
Mbangula S.
(Injury)
Stage J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Werder Bremen?
Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Hamburger SV?
Werder Bremen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen were as follows:
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
