Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 30
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. ⚽, Vallik V. (A),
- 31', Valja H. 🟨,
- 31', Baturins I. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Paalberg M. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Kriis K. ⚽, Baturins I. (A),
- 45', Roomussaar K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Sillamaa R. 🟨,
- 70', Reimaa R. ↓, Sikk A. ↑,
- 70', Kriis K. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 70', Karimu M. ↓, Jarve A. ↑,
- 76', Kaevats A. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
- 79', Aer S. 🟨,
- 82', Vallik V. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 82', Sillamaa R. ↓, Kartau I. ↑,
- 84', Paalberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 86', Kajari E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri
28.1% | Draw
24.3% | Pärnu Vaprus
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(3) |
3.8 ↑
(3.7) |
1.95 ↓
(2) |
8.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 0.
- Recent performances by Harju have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Harju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pärnu Vaprus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harju won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Harju JK Laagri has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Harju JK Laagri?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
25.07.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
2:2
26.04.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
05.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:1
27.10.2023
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
0:0
02.09.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:4
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
