Result
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 30
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri
26.6% | Draw
24.5% | Pärnu Vaprus
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(3) |
3.75 ↑
(3.7) |
1.88 ↓
(2) |
8.9%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 0.
- Recent performances by Harju have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Harju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pärnu Vaprus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harju won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Harju JK Laagri has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Harju JK Laagri?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
25.07.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
2:2
26.04.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
05.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:1
27.10.2023
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
0:0
02.09.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:4
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Levadia | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 70:30 | 40 | 63 |
| 3 | Paide | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 47:26 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 5 | Narva | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 24 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 30 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 37:69 | -32 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 25:89 | -64 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
