Result
2:2
25/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 19
- Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Sillamaa R. ⚽, Jarve A. (A),
- 27', Laur K. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Pajo T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Sillamaa R. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
- 64', Veensalu E. 🟨,
- 64', 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Eerme K. (Pen),
- 71', Vallik V. ↓, Villota M. ↑,
- 71', Kauber K. ↓, Paalberg M. ↑,
- 71', Ribeiro J. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
- 71', Veensalu E. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
- 85', Kaevats A. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 86', Eerme K. ↓, Camara N. ↑,
- 90+9', Kose A. 🟨,
- 90+10', 2 - 2, Aloe K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
49.1% | Draw
26.8% | Harju JK Laagri
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pärnu Vaprus's performance.Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harju JK Laagri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Vaprus that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harju JK Laagri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.17) |
3.55 ↑
(3.49) |
3.96 ↑
(3.02) |
4.9%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pärnu Vaprus will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2.
- Pärnu Vaprus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Harju has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Harju has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Harju JK Laagri?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Harju JK Laagri has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri were as follows:
26.04.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
05.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:1
27.10.2023
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
0:0
02.09.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:4
28.05.2023
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Harju JK Laagri
0:1
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 47:27 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 23:71 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
