Harrogate Town vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Exercise Stadium (Harrogate).

League Two - Round 14
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	2.17
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
76% (361/475)	63% (187/298)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	3.22
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
14	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
15	8
Passes
76% (361/475)	63% (187/298)
Long passes
38% (31/81)	26% (23/87)
Passes in final third
64% (89/138)	46% (52/112)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	1.01
Throw-ins
43	29
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
68% (13/19)	77% (20/26)
Duels won
72	59
Clearances
27	36
Interceptions
2	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
3.22	0.61
Goals prevented
1.22	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
44', Evans J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Faulkner B. (Own goal),
51', 0 - 3, Antwi C. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
53', Muldoon J. 🟨,
61', Fox B. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
61', Smith R. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
69', McAleny C. ↓, O'Connor A. ↑,
71', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
71', Whitmore K. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
82', Garner G. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
90+1', Lloyd B. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Harrogate Town
47.1%

Draw
27.7%

Newport County
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Harrogate Town - Newport County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	3.74 ↓ (3.87)	6.4% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Newport County?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Harrogate Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Harrogate might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L. (Inactive) Bennett M. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Hill T. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Newport: Lloyd B. (International duty) Patten K. (Broken Leg) Shephard L. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: McCoulsky S. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Newport County?

Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Harrogate Town?

Newport County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Newport County were as follows:

15.03.2025 Newport County - Harrogate Town 3:0

12.10.2024 Harrogate Town - Newport County 1:0

27.02.2024 Harrogate Town - Newport County 1:4

07.10.2023 Newport County - Harrogate Town 1:2

27.08.2022 Harrogate Town - Newport County 0:4

Latest results of Harrogate Town

18.10.2025 Colchester United - Harrogate Town 3:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 3:2 ✺

06.10.2025 Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Harrogate Town - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Gillingham - Harrogate Town 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Newport County

18.10.2025 Newport County - Cheltenham Town 0:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Cardiff City - Newport County 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Newport County - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Chesterfield - Newport County 4:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League