Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (250/369) | 69% (258/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 3.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (250/369) | 69% (258/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (27/83) | 43% (36/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (99/152) | 63% (114/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.48 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Falkingham J. 🟨,
- 19', Smith J. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Cursons T. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Masterson C. ⚽, Andrews J. (A),
- 55', 0 - 2, Little A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Muldoon J. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
- 69', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 69', Rowe A. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 78', Falkingham J. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
- 82', Dack B. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Vokes S. ⚽, McCleary G. (A),
- 90+1', Gale S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
21.9% | Draw
26.1% | Gillingham
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gillingham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harrogate Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(3.71) |
3.58 ↑
(3.23) |
1.81 ↓
(2.01) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3.
- Harrogate has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gillingham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Harrogate has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Gillingham is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Evans J.
(Red Card)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Gillingham?
Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Harrogate Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Gillingham were as follows:
27.09.2025
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
29.03.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
23.11.2024
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
01.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Gillingham
5:1
09.09.2023
Gillingham
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
