Result
1:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (536/638) | 57% (139/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (536/638) | 57% (139/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 14% (10/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (210/261) | 40% (34/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Iorpenda T. ↓, Palmer M. ↑,
- 59', Sutton L. 🟨,
- 61', Grant C. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 61', Bennetts K. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 71', Fox B. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 77', McCoulsky S. 🟨,
- 80', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Dennis M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Notts County
66.2% | Draw
20.8% | Harrogate Town
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Notts County - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.51) |
4.56 ↑
(4.24) |
6.99 ↑
(5.53) |
6.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
- Notts County has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Harrogate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Notts County is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Notts County: Bedeau J.
(Yellow Cards)
Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L.
(Inactive)
Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Harrogate Town?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Notts County?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Harrogate Town were as follows:
26.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Notts County
1:3
26.10.2024
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
06.04.2024
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
16.12.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Notts County
3:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
