Harrogate Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Exercise Stadium (Harrogate).

League Two - Round 45
Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	1.63
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
20	17
Shots on target
7	10
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
63% (146/232)	82% (421/513)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	2.73
Total shots
20	17
Shots on target
7	10
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
8	2
Shots inside the Box
13	13
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
21	36
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
63% (146/232)	82% (421/513)
Long passes
36% (21/58)	43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
50% (52/103)	65% (83/128)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	2.10
Throw-ins
19	19
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
50% (9/18)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
52	51
Clearances
31	30
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	6
xGOT faced
2.73	1.34
Goals prevented
-0.27	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Fox B. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Abbott G. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Muldoon J. ⚽, Belshaw J. (A),
45+3', Gibson L. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Grant C. ⚽,
69', Falkingham J. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
69', Cursons T. ↓, Dooley S. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Grant C. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
80', Jones J. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
80', Jatta A. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
85', Gordon K. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
88', Abbott G. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Harrogate Town
19.9%

Draw
23.8%

Notts County
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.4%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harrogate Town - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.66)	3.94 ↑ (3.67)	1.67 ↓ (1.9)	6.2% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Notts County?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 40% – 93.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 3.
Recent matches Harrogate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Notts County is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Notts County is a favorite.
There will not play in Harrogate: Burrell W. (Inactive) Cornelius D. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) Moorby J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Gordon K. (Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Notts County?

Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Harrogate Town?

Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Notts County were as follows:

26.10.2024 Notts County - Harrogate Town 1:0

06.04.2024 Notts County - Harrogate Town 3:0

16.12.2023 Harrogate Town - Notts County 3:1

Latest results of Harrogate Town

21.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Walsall - Harrogate Town 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Bradford City - Notts County 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Notts County - Salford City 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Colchester United - Notts County 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League