Result
0:2
28/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1, Nova Sports Premier League |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/417) | 75% (280/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/417) | 75% (280/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 70% (80/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 64% (18/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
- 45', Tangen H. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sutton L. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
- 61', Taylor E. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
- 62', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 71', Dennis M. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 71', Muldoon J. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
- 89', Bennetts K. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
- 89', Jones J. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
23.7% | Draw
26% | Notts County
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harrogate Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↓
(4.47) |
3.58 ↓
(3.6) |
1.86 ↑
(1.7) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Notts County?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Harrogate (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Notts County (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1.
- Recent form of Harrogate has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Notts County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Notts County is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Notts County: Norburn O.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Inactive)
Platt M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Notts County?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Harrogate Town?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Notts County were as follows:
15.11.2025
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
26.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Notts County
1:3
26.10.2024
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
06.04.2024
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
16.12.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Notts County
3:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
