Result
1:3
26/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (146/232) | 82% (421/513) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (146/232) | 82% (421/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (52/103) | 65% (83/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Fox B. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Abbott G. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Muldoon J. ⚽, Belshaw J. (A),
- 45+3', Gibson L. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 2, Grant C. ⚽,
- 69', Falkingham J. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
- 69', Cursons T. ↓, Dooley S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Grant C. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
- 80', Jones J. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 80', Jatta A. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 85', Gordon K. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 88', Abbott G. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
19.9% | Draw
23.8% | Notts County
56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harrogate Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(3.66) |
3.94 ↑
(3.67) |
1.67 ↓
(1.9) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 3.
- Recent matches Harrogate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Notts County is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Notts County is a favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Burrell W.
(Inactive)
Cornelius D.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Moorby J.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Notts County: Ness L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S.
(Injury)
Gordon K.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Notts County?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Harrogate Town?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Notts County were as follows:
26.10.2024
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
06.04.2024
Notts County
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
16.12.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Notts County
3:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
