Shrewsbury Town vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.960.63
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
91
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
84
Passes
79% (331/419)69% (171/247)
Yellow cards
37
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.960.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.33
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3321
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
136
Passes
79% (331/419)69% (171/247)
Long passes
37% (27/73)37% (25/67)
Passes in final third
67% (95/142)60% (61/101)
Crosses
14% (4/29)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.85
Throw ins
2724
Fouls
613
Tackles
64% (9/14)45% (10/22)
Duels won
6968
Clearances
3754
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.331.78
Goals prevented
0.330.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Evans J. 🟨,
  • 23', Headman C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Evans J. 🟨,
  • 61', Horton G. , Cass L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Perry T. , Ruffels J. (A),
  • 70', Smith R. 🟨,
  • 74', Morgan I. , McDermott T. ,
  • 76', Acquah E. , Cursons T. ,
  • 83', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 89', O'Connor A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Connor A. , Burrell W. ,
  • 90+4', Clucas S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McDermott T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Thomson G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cass L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
50.9%
Draw
25.8%
Harrogate Town
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25.7% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 25.3% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.76)
    3.58
    (3.61)
    4.03
    (4.28)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Harrogate Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
    • Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Harrogate has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Shrewsbury is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Harrogate Town - Shrewsbury Town 2:0
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley331811456:342265
    2Cambridge Utd33189648:262263
    3MK Dons331710662:332961
    4Notts Co33187852:322061
    5Swindon341941156:401661
    6Crewe341581150:401053
    7Chesterfield331314652:43953
    8Salford321641245:43252
    9Barnet3413111043:37650
    10Walsall321481040:35550
    11Colchester321310948:341449
    12Grimsby321310945:37849
    13Accrington331371336:34246
    14Fleetwood321281243:42144
    15Oldham311012934:30442
    16Gillingham3210111140:41-141
    17Shrewsbury341081633:52-1938
    18Tranmere33981645:57-1235
    19Cheltenham321051733:54-2135
    20Bristol Rovers33932132:56-2430
    21Crawley346101833:54-2128
    22Barrow32761933:50-1727
    23Harrogate34682024:51-2726
    24Newport33662132:60-2824

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League