Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (331/419) | 69% (171/247) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (331/419) | 69% (171/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 37% (25/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/142) | 60% (61/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Evans J. 🟨,
- 23', Headman C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Evans J. 🟨,
- 61', Horton G. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Perry T. ⚽, Ruffels J. (A),
- 70', Smith R. 🟨,
- 74', Morgan I. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 76', Acquah E. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 83', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 89', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 90+3', O'Connor A. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
- 90+4', Clucas S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Marquis J. 🟨,
- 90+5', McDermott T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Thomson G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cass L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town
50.9% | Draw
25.8% | Harrogate Town
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.76) |
3.58 ↓
(3.61) |
4.03 ↓
(4.28) |
7.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harrogate Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
- Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Harrogate has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shrewsbury is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Harrogate Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
20.09.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:0
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 42 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 67:41 | 26 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 77:42 | 35 | 76 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 46:62 | -16 | 52 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:62 | -22 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
