Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (331/419) | 69% (171/247) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (331/419) | 69% (171/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 37% (25/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/142) | 60% (61/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Evans J. 🟨,
- 23', Headman C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Evans J. 🟨,
- 61', Horton G. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Perry T. ⚽, Ruffels J. (A),
- 70', Smith R. 🟨,
- 74', Morgan I. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 76', Acquah E. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 83', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 89', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 90+3', O'Connor A. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
- 90+4', Clucas S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Marquis J. 🟨,
- 90+5', McDermott T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Thomson G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cass L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shrewsbury Town 50.9% | Draw 25.8% | Harrogate Town 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.76) |
3.58 ↓ (3.61) |
4.03 ↓ (4.28) |
7.4% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harrogate Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
- Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Harrogate has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shrewsbury is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Harrogate Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
20.09.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:0
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One