Shrewsbury Town vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.960.63
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
91
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
84
Passes
79% (331/419)69% (171/247)
Yellow cards
37
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.960.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.33
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3321
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
136
Passes
79% (331/419)69% (171/247)
Long passes
37% (27/73)37% (25/67)
Passes in final third
67% (95/142)60% (61/101)
Crosses
14% (4/29)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.85
Throw ins
2724
Fouls
613
Tackles
64% (9/14)45% (10/22)
Duels won
6968
Clearances
3754
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.331.78
Goals prevented
0.330.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Evans J. 🟨,
  • 23', Headman C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Evans J. 🟨,
  • 61', Horton G. , Cass L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Perry T. , Ruffels J. (A),
  • 70', Smith R. 🟨,
  • 74', Morgan I. , McDermott T. ,
  • 76', Acquah E. , Cursons T. ,
  • 83', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 89', O'Connor A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Connor A. , Burrell W. ,
  • 90+4', Clucas S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McDermott T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Thomson G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cass L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
50.9%
Draw
25.8%
Harrogate Town
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25.7% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 25.3% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.76)
    3.58
    (3.61)
    4.03
    (4.28)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harrogate Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
    • Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Harrogate has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Shrewsbury is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Harrogate Town - Shrewsbury Town 2:0
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MK Dons ✔ 452413885:444185
    2Bromley ✔ 452315768:452384
    3Cambridge Utd452215866:333381
    4Salford452551561:511080
    5Notts Co452471473:512279
    6Grimsby4522111273:492477
    7Chesterfield452016969:551476
    8Swindon452291469:571275
    9Barnet4520131268:521673
    10Crewe451991764:58666
    11Oldham4517141457:441365
    12Walsall4518111655:53265
    13Colchester4517121658:481063
    14Bristol Rovers451942255:64-961
    15Fleetwood4515151556:57-160
    16Accrington4514112047:55-853
    17Cheltenham4514102152:75-2352
    18Gillingham4512141952:72-2050
    19Shrewsbury4513102242:68-2649
    20Tranmere4510102553:78-2540
    21Newport451172746:76-3040
    22Crawley458152244:68-2439
    23Harrogate451092638:66-2839
    24Barrow45992744:76-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One
    Bromley is Qualified for League One