Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Exercise Stadium (Harrogate).

League Two - Round 25
Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.14	1.65
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
21	18
Shots on target
4	8
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
7	9
Passes
72% (290/405)	77% (337/436)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.14	1.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.39	1.65
Total shots
21	18
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked shots
9	6
Shots inside the box
14	9
Shots outside the box
7	9
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
7	9
Touches in opposition box
29	25
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
9	7
Passes
72% (290/405)	77% (337/436)
Long passes
34% (26/77)	38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
63% (77/122)	64% (98/153)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.66
Throw ins
27	25
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
75% (18/24)	48% (11/23)
Duels won
64	58
Clearances
39	30
Interceptions
10	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	4
xGOT faced
1.65	0.39
Goals prevented
0.65	0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Clarke O. 🟨,
39', Morris B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marsh A. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
46', Wright W. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
57', Mabete F. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
57', Palmer O. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
57', Oldaker D. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
70', Ball J. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
81', Sutton E. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Drinan A. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Harrogate Town
20%

Draw
24.2%

Swindon Town
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.4%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.9%

48.9%

Harrogate Town - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.73)	3.88 ↑ (3.34)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)	6.6% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1.
Harrogate has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Clarke O. (Suspended) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury) Sutton L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive) Delaney R. (Inactive) Snowdon J. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Swindon Town?

Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Harrogate Town?

Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Swindon Town were as follows:

13.09.2025 Swindon Town - Harrogate Town 3:1

15.02.2025 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 1:0

05.10.2024 Swindon Town - Harrogate Town 0:0

02.03.2024 Swindon Town - Harrogate Town 1:1

18.11.2023 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 1:1

Latest results of Harrogate Town

31.01.2026 Crawley Town - Harrogate Town 2:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 1:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 0:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Stockport County - Harrogate Town 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

31.01.2026 Swindon Town - Barrow 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Notts County - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Bromley - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Salford City - Swindon Town 3:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League