Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.42 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
75% (315/421) | 63% (183/291) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.42 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.62 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
21 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
75% (315/421) | 63% (183/291) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (42/89) | 27% (23/84) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (78/122) | 42% (38/91) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (6/17) | 24% (4/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.70 | 0.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 3.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Hill T. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
- 17', Asare Z. 🟨,
- 28', Snowdon J. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Muldoon J. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Clarke O. ⚽, Snowdon J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Munroe F. 🟨,
- 54', Morris B. 🟨,
- 54', Oldaker D. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 70', Muldoon J. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 70', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 70', Morris B. ↓, Fox B. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
- 75', Cass L. ↓, O'Connor A. ↑,
- 79', Glatzel P. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
- 80', Mabete F. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Clarke O. (A),
- 90+3', Clarke O. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town 54.5% | Draw 25.2% | Harrogate Town 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Swindon Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↑ (1.64) |
3.88 ↑ (3.81) |
4.74 ↓ (4.9) |
0.3% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
- Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Harrogate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Swindon is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Thomson G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Swindon will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Harrogate Town?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Swindon Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
15.02.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Swindon Town
1:0
05.10.2024
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
02.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
18.11.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Swindon Town
1:1
25.02.2023
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League