Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (315/421) | 63% (183/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (315/421) | 63% (183/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (42/89) | 27% (23/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (78/122) | 42% (38/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Hill T. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
- 17', Asare Z. 🟨,
- 28', Snowdon J. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Muldoon J. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Clarke O. ⚽, Snowdon J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Munroe F. 🟨,
- 54', Morris B. 🟨,
- 54', Oldaker D. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 70', Muldoon J. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 70', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 70', Morris B. ↓, Fox B. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
- 75', Cass L. ↓, O'Connor A. ↑,
- 79', Glatzel P. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
- 80', Mabete F. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Clarke O. (A),
- 90+3', Clarke O. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
54.5% | Draw
25.2% | Harrogate Town
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Swindon Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.64) |
3.88 ↑
(3.81) |
4.74 ↓
(4.9) |
0.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 1.
- Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Harrogate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Swindon is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Thomson G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Swindon will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Harrogate Town?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Swindon Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
15.02.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Swindon Town
1:0
05.10.2024
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
02.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
18.11.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Swindon Town
1:1
25.02.2023
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
