Result
1:4
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (335/416) | 71% (186/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 3.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (335/416) | 71% (186/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (74/109) | 59% (42/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.28 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', Howell M. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Dieng M. (Pen),
- 29', 0 - 2, Dieng M. ⚽, Ngalina M. (A),
- 45+3', Kavita P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', McCartney D. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 46', Kavita P. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
- 48', Laszo E. 🟨,
- 61', Shashoua S. (Pen),
- 65', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 65', Jimenez J. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
- 72', Dieng M. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 73', Samadia E. 🟨,
- 75', Rufe J. 🟨,
- 78', Laszo E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 78', Howell M. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
- 80', Diz A. ↓, Scarlett J. ↑,
- 80', Moreira J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 3, Edwards K. ⚽,
- 90+5', 0 - 4, Obalola A. ⚽, Careaga S. (A),
- 90+6', 1 - 4, Martinez E. ⚽, Tregarthen S. (A),
Chances of winning
Birmingham Legion
43.3% | Draw
26.2% | Hartford Athletic
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.21) |
3.53 ↑
(3.2) |
3.05 ↓
(3.09) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
- Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Hartford Athletic?
Birmingham Legion has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Birmingham Legion?
Hartford Athletic has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
19.04.2025
Hartford Athletic
-
Birmingham Legion
1:0
03.08.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Hartford Athletic
2:2
23.03.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Birmingham Legion
1:0
25.03.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Birmingham Legion
0:1
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
