Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic
Result
1:4
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.34
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
81% (335/416)71% (186/261)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.723.28
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1929
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
109
Passes
81% (335/416)71% (186/261)
Long passes
36% (18/50)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
68% (74/109)59% (42/71)
Crosses
17% (4/24)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.08
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1212
Tackles
71% (5/7)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3538
Clearances
2432
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
3.281.72
Goals prevented
-0.720.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Howell M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Dieng M. (Pen),
  • 29', 0 - 2, Dieng M. , Ngalina M. (A),
  • 45+3', Kavita P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', McCartney D. , Turnbull S. ,
  • 46', Kavita P. , Rufe J. ,
  • 48', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 61', Shashoua S. (Pen),
  • 65', Hairston M. , Makangila B. ,
  • 65', Jimenez J. , Obalola A. ,
  • 72', Dieng M. , Edwards K. ,
  • 73', Samadia E. 🟨,
  • 75', Rufe J. 🟨,
  • 78', Laszo E. , Preston T. ,
  • 78', Howell M. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 80', Diz A. , Scarlett J. ,
  • 80', Moreira J. , Careaga S. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 3, Edwards K. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Obalola A. , Careaga S. (A),
  • 90+6', 1 - 4, Martinez E. , Tregarthen S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
43.3%
Draw
26.2%
Hartford Athletic
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.21)
    3.53
    (3.2)
    3.05
    (3.09)
    8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    03.08.2024 Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic 2:2
    23.03.2024 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    25.03.2023 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

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