Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.34
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
81% (335/416)71% (186/261)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.723.28
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1929
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
109
Passes
81% (335/416)71% (186/261)
Long passes
36% (18/50)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
68% (74/109)59% (42/71)
Crosses
17% (4/24)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.08
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1212
Tackles
71% (5/7)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3538
Clearances
2432
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
3.281.72
Goals prevented
-0.720.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Howell M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Dieng M. (Pen),
  • 29', 0 - 2, Dieng M. , Ngalina M. (A),
  • 45+3', Kavita P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', McCartney D. , Turnbull S. ,
  • 46', Kavita P. , Rufe J. ,
  • 48', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 61', Shashoua S. (Pen),
  • 65', Hairston M. , Makangila B. ,
  • 65', Jimenez J. , Obalola A. ,
  • 72', Dieng M. , Edwards K. ,
  • 73', Samadia E. 🟨,
  • 75', Rufe J. 🟨,
  • 78', Laszo E. , Preston T. ,
  • 78', Howell M. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 80', Diz A. , Scarlett J. ,
  • 80', Moreira J. , Careaga S. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 3, Edwards K. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Obalola A. , Careaga S. (A),
  • 90+6', 1 - 4, Martinez E. , Tregarthen S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
43.3%
Draw
26.2%
Hartford Athletic
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.21)
    3.53
    (3.2)
    3.05
    (3.09)
    8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    03.08.2024 Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic 2:2
    23.03.2024 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    25.03.2023 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)