Hartford Athletic vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.362.00
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (268/342)86% (394/458)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.362.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.261.29
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2028
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
78% (268/342)86% (394/458)
Long passes
42% (29/69)53% (18/34)
Passes in final third
65% (73/113)80% (106/132)
Crosses
8% (1/13)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.12
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1016
Tackles
56% (5/9)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
2034
Interceptions
51
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.292.26
Goals prevented
-0.71-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Anderson S. , Hairston M. (A),
  • 27', Ross N. 🟨,
  • 34', Hairston M. , Makangila B. ,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Ngalina M. ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Gurr J. , Wanner D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Wanner D. , Parano C. (A),
  • 57', Edwards K. , Panayotou J. ,
  • 58', Herrera J. , Bennett K. ,
  • 69', Jamieson L. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 71', Moreira J. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 71', Careaga S. , Obalola A. ,
  • 76', Parano C. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 76', Wanner D. , Edwards A. ,
  • 84', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • 87', Siaha A. 🟨,
  • 88', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ngalina M. , Barry H. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Jimenez J. , Barry H. (A),
  • 90+5', Jimenez J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Edwards A. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
42.9%
Draw
28.3%
Sacramento Republic
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27.8% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 26.3% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    3.26
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (2.9)
    8.3%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Hartford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.
    • Hartford might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 0:1
    29.06.2024 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 1:0
    26.05.2023 Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic 1:4
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)