Hartford Athletic vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT).

USL Championship
Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.36	2.00
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
78% (268/342)	86% (394/458)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.26	1.29
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
4	10
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
7	16
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
20	28
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
78% (268/342)	86% (394/458)
Long passes
42% (29/69)	53% (18/34)
Passes in final third
65% (73/113)	80% (106/132)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.41	1.12
Throw-ins
17	16
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
56% (5/9)	57% (4/7)
Duels won
44	45
Clearances
20	34
Interceptions
5	1
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.29	2.26
Goals prevented
-0.71	-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Anderson S. ⚽, Hairston M. (A),
27', Ross N. 🟨,
34', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Ngalina M. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Gurr J. ⚽, Wanner D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Wanner D. ⚽, Parano C. (A),
57', Edwards K. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
58', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
69', Jamieson L. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
71', Moreira J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
71', Careaga S. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
76', Parano C. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
76', Wanner D. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
84', Edwards A. 🟨,
87', Siaha A. 🟨,
88', Obalola A. 🟨,
90+2', Ngalina M. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽, Barry H. (A),
90+5', Jimenez J. 🟨,
90+8', Edwards A. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Hartford Athletic
42.9%

Draw
28.3%

Sacramento Republic
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 (2.15)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.21 ↑ (2.9)	8.3% (12.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sacramento Republic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.
Hartford might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Sacramento Republic?

Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Hartford Athletic?

Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic were as follows:

04.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 0:1

29.06.2024 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 1:0

26.05.2023 Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic 1:4

Latest results of Hartford Athletic

07.10.2025 Oakland Roots - Hartford Athletic 1:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Hartford Athletic 0:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

04.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 0:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )