Result
3:2
11/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (268/342) | 86% (394/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (268/342) | 86% (394/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 53% (18/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 80% (106/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Anderson S. ⚽, Hairston M. (A),
- 27', Ross N. 🟨,
- 34', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 38', 2 - 0, Ngalina M. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Gurr J. ⚽, Wanner D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 2, Wanner D. ⚽, Parano C. (A),
- 57', Edwards K. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
- 58', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
- 69', Jamieson L. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 71', Moreira J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 71', Careaga S. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
- 76', Parano C. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 76', Wanner D. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 84', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 87', Siaha A. 🟨,
- 88', Obalola A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ngalina M. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽, Barry H. (A),
- 90+5', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Edwards A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic
42.9% | Draw
28.3% | Sacramento Republic
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15
(2.15) |
3.26 ↑
(3.2) |
3.21 ↑
(2.9) |
8.3%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Hartford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sacramento Republic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.
- Hartford might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Sacramento Republic?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Hartford Athletic?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
04.10.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Hartford Athletic
0:1
29.06.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Hartford Athletic
1:0
26.05.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Sacramento Republic
1:4
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
