Sacramento Republic vs Hartford Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.76
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (381/469)67% (178/266)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.681.14
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
137
Passes
81% (381/469)67% (178/266)
Long passes
40% (21/53)44% (38/86)
Passes in final third
62% (61/99)45% (40/89)
Crosses
22% (6/27)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.67
Throw-ins
3028
Fouls
713
Tackles
62% (8/13)80% (12/15)
Duels won
6448
Clearances
3137
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.140.68
Goals prevented
0.140.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Diz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Obalola A. , Edwards K. ,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Careaga S. ,
  • 58', Bennett K. , Parano C. ,
  • 73', Luis Felipe , Herrera J. ,
  • 74', Lopez R. , Willey B. ,
  • 74', Benitez M. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 76', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 79', Careaga S. , Makangila B. ,
  • 81', Anderson S. 🟨,
  • 84', Kleemann F. , Jamieson L. ,
  • 90', Ngalina M. , Farrell J. ,
  • 90+3', Edwards K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Edwards K. , Njie B. ,
  • 90+4', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Siaha A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Djedje R. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
44%
Draw
30.2%
Hartford Athletic
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 29% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 30.1% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.06)
    3.04
    (3.1)
    3.57
    (3.3)
    8.9%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic 1:0
    26.05.2023 Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic 1:4