Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Victoria Park (Hartlepool).

National League - Round 35
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	5
Corner kicks
8	2
Yellow cards
1	3
Red cards
0	1
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
6	5
Corner kicks
8	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sinclair T. ⚽, Parkes T. (A),
14', Macadam H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Reid A. ⚽, Daly M. (A),
53', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Linney R. ↑,
53', Ajiboye D. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
59', Macadam H. 🟨,
68', Ellis J. 🟨,
71', Sinclair T. 🟨,
72', Daly M. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
72', Miley J. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
72', Reid A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
76', Sinclair T. ↓, Okike C. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Okike C. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Kelly G. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
82', Ellis J. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
82', Mugabi B. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
90+2', Sheron N. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,

Chances of winning

Hartlepool United
30.3%

Draw
27.5%

Carlisle United
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Carlisle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Hartlepool United - Carlisle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	2.18 (2.18)	8.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Carlisle United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Carlisle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 0.
Hartlepool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Carlisle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of away games.
Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Carlisle United?

Hartlepool United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Hartlepool United?

Carlisle United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Carlisle United were as follows:

01.10.2025 Carlisle United - Hartlepool United 3:1

24.01.2023 Carlisle United - Hartlepool United 3:1

08.10.2022 Hartlepool United - Carlisle United 1:3

Latest results of Hartlepool United

21.02.2026 Solihull Moors - Hartlepool United 3:4 ✺

11.02.2026 York City - Hartlepool United 3:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Tamworth - Hartlepool United 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town 0:3 ✺

24.01.2026 Brackley Town - Hartlepool United 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlisle United

21.02.2026 Carlisle United - Yeovil Town 3:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United 1:3 ✺

10.02.2026 Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United 3:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Rochdale - Carlisle United 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Carlisle United - Altrincham 3:1 ✺

English National League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rochdale	39	30	4	5	77:31	46	94
2	York City	39	28	8	3	104:36	68	92
3	Carlisle	39	24	6	9	75:48	27	78
4	Boreham Wood	39	22	8	9	80:52	28	74
5	Scunthorpe	39	21	10	8	71:55	16	73
6	Forest Green	39	19	11	9	64:45	19	68
7	FC Halifax	39	18	8	13	62:55	7	62
8	Southend	37	17	10	10	61:36	25	61
9	Hartlepool	38	15	12	11	44:40	4	57
10	Woking	37	14	10	13	56:46	10	52
11	Wealdstone	38	13	9	16	52:61	-9	48
12	Tamworth	39	13	9	17	52:66	-14	48
13	Boston Utd	39	12	11	16	52:61	-9	47
14	Altrincham	38	14	4	20	45:56	-11	46
15	Solihull Moors	38	11	11	16	61:65	-4	44
16	Yeovil	38	13	5	20	41:55	-14	44
17	Sutton	39	10	13	16	53:66	-13	43
18	Aldershot	38	12	6	20	63:73	-10	42
19	Eastleigh	39	11	9	19	48:68	-20	42
20	Brackley Town	39	9	10	20	36:63	-27	37
21	Gateshead	39	10	7	22	45:82	-37	37
22	Morecambe	39	8	10	21	57:81	-24	34
23	Braintree	39	8	10	21	31:60	-29	34
24	Truro	39	7	7	25	38:67	-29	28

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation