Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Victoria Park (Hartlepool).

National League - Round 35
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	5
Corner kicks
8	2
Yellow cards
1	3
Red cards
0	1
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
6	5
Corner kicks
8	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sinclair T. ⚽, Parkes T. (A),
14', Macadam H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Reid A. ⚽, Daly M. (A),
53', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Linney R. ↑,
53', Ajiboye D. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
59', Macadam H. 🟨,
68', Ellis J. 🟨,
71', Sinclair T. 🟨,
72', Daly M. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
72', Miley J. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
72', Reid A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
76', Sinclair T. ↓, Okike C. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Okike C. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Kelly G. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
82', Ellis J. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
82', Mugabi B. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
90+2', Sheron N. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,

Chances of winning

Hartlepool United
30.3%

Draw
27.5%

Carlisle United
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Carlisle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Hartlepool United - Carlisle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	2.18 (2.18)	8.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Carlisle United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Carlisle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 0.
Hartlepool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Carlisle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of away games.
Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Carlisle United?

Hartlepool United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Hartlepool United?

Carlisle United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Carlisle United were as follows:

01.10.2025 Carlisle United - Hartlepool United 3:1

24.01.2023 Carlisle United - Hartlepool United 3:1

08.10.2022 Hartlepool United - Carlisle United 1:3

Latest results of Hartlepool United

21.02.2026 Solihull Moors - Hartlepool United 3:4 ✺

17.02.2026 Wealdstone - Hartlepool United Postponed ✺

11.02.2026 York City - Hartlepool United 3:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Tamworth - Hartlepool United 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Carlisle United

21.02.2026 Carlisle United - Yeovil Town 3:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United 1:3 ✺

10.02.2026 Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United 3:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Rochdale - Carlisle United 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Carlisle United - Altrincham 3:1 ✺

English National League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	York City	35	25	8	2	92:32	60	83
2	Rochdale	34	26	4	4	65:23	42	82
3	Carlisle	35	22	5	8	64:42	22	71
4	Boreham Wood	34	19	7	8	65:42	23	64
5	Forest Green	36	17	11	8	60:42	18	62
6	Scunthorpe	34	17	10	7	60:49	11	61
7	FC Halifax	36	15	8	13	55:53	2	53
8	Southend	31	15	7	9	52:29	23	52
9	Hartlepool	34	13	12	9	42:37	5	51
10	Tamworth	34	12	9	13	45:54	-9	45
11	Solihull Moors	34	11	10	13	58:54	4	43
12	Boston Utd	35	11	10	14	46:51	-5	43
13	Aldershot	34	12	6	16	60:63	-3	42
14	Altrincham	35	12	4	19	41:54	-13	40
15	Wealdstone	32	10	9	13	38:51	-13	39
16	Eastleigh	35	10	9	16	44:60	-16	39
17	Woking	31	10	8	13	41:38	3	38
18	Yeovil	33	11	5	17	35:47	-12	38
19	Sutton	34	8	12	14	48:56	-8	36
20	Brackley Town	33	9	9	15	28:44	-16	36
21	Braintree	35	8	9	18	27:51	-24	33
22	Morecambe	35	6	9	20	46:75	-29	27
23	Gateshead	33	7	5	21	39:76	-37	26
24	Truro	34	6	6	22	33:61	-28	24

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation