Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Carlisle United - Hartlepool United
Result
3:1
01/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
173
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
94
Total shots
173
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
101
Corner Kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Harper C. , Linney R. (A),
  • 14', Mugabi B. , Feeney M. ,
  • 38', Cartwright H. , Smith A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Topalloj B. , Daly M. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Francis J. ,
  • 61', Thomas T. , Grant J. ,
  • 67', Parkes T. , Walker B. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Kelly G. , Harper C. (A),
  • 78', Charman L. , Oliver V. ,
  • 79', Johnson D. , Ferguson N. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Feeney M. , Linney R. (A),
  • 90', Linney R. , Armstrong L. ,
  • 90', Luamba J. , Williams J. ,
  • 90+1', Wearne S. , Whelan C. ,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
51.8%
Draw
27%
Hartlepool United
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 23.7% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Carlisle United - Hartlepool United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.74)
    3.46
    (3.82)
    4.57
    (4.06)
    4.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Hartlepool United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Hartlepool United were as follows:
    24.01.2023 Carlisle United - Hartlepool United 3:1
    08.10.2022 Hartlepool United - Carlisle United 1:3
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    5Scunthorpe1274121:101125
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1122715:33-188

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation