Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 18
- Referee: Gokcen O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/329) | 82% (358/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/329) | 82% (358/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (65/102) | 72% (120/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Sarka B. ⚽,
- 26', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
- 28', Isciler B. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Ozcan S. ⚽, Martynov A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Sadygov I. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
- 85', Yildiz A. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
15.7% | Draw
20.6% | Serik Belediyespor
63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serik Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hatayspor - Serik Belediyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.81 ↑
(4.58) |
4.49 ↑
(4) |
1.45 ↓
(1.64) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Serik Belediyespor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Hatayspor (1.63) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1 - Serik Belediyespor (2.28) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Serik Belediyespor (1.91) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Serik Belediyespor (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Serik Belediyespor will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Serik Belediyespor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Serik Belediyespor (votes: 21 - 91.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Hatayspor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Serik Belediyespor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hatayspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Serik Belediyespor is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Demir C.
(Suspended)
Matur O.
(Red Card)
Temel S.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B.
(Suspended)
Celenk E.
(Suspended)
Dilli S.
(Suspended)
Kok D.
(Inactive)
Sen K.
(Yellow Cards)
Silva M.
(Yellow Cards)
Tunali M.
(Suspended)
Yucedag E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Saglam G.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Hatayspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Serik Belediyespor were as follows:
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
