Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 5
- Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Downey S. 🟨,
- 17', Shephard C. 🟨,
- 31', Fawcett B. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Ahmun B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Walters G. 🟨,
- 63', Downey S. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
- 66', Rees L. 🟨,
- 72', Jones A. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Smith D. ⚽,
- 76', McCarthy K. ↓, Makwiramiti P. ↑,
- 83', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 83', Bradley S. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 87', Fawcett B. ↓, Owen L. ↑,
- 87', Ahmun B. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
- 88', Owen L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/jddhercu
Chances of winning
Haverfordwest County
39.3% | Draw
27.4% | Caernarfon Town
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.57) |
3.36 ↓
(3.53) |
2.77 ↑
(2.33) |
8.4%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 2.
- Haverfordwest has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caernarfon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Haverfordwest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Haverfordwest has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Haverfordwest County won against Caernarfon Town?
Haverfordwest County has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Haverfordwest County?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
18.05.2025
Haverfordwest County
-
Caernarfon Town
3:1
29.03.2025
Haverfordwest County
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
08.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Haverfordwest County
1:1
26.10.2024
Haverfordwest County
-
Caernarfon Town
0:0
17.08.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Haverfordwest County
1:2
Latest results of Haverfordwest County
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30:7 | 23 | 26 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Bala | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Barry | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Flint | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:30 | -24 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
