Result
2:0
21/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Bekele S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 2 - 0, Hefamo T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hawassa City
31.3% | Draw
36.1% | Negele Arsi Ketema
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.4) |
2.51 ↓
(2.66) |
2.78 ↓
(3.4) |
10.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
- Recent performances by Hawassa City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Negele Arsi Ketema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hawassa City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawassa City won against Negele Arsi Ketema?
Hawassa City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Hawassa City?
Negele Arsi Ketema has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema were as follows:
Latest results of Hawassa City
Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 15 | St. George | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:31 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
