Result
67:101
12/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Canada | TSN 4 |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 220 | 222 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 120 | 144 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 340 | 366 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 98 | 85 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (20 - 28)
- 00:28, Gunston J. (G),
- 01:39, Watson N. (G),
- 03:27, Worpel J. (Behind),
- 04:17, Amon K. (G),
- 10:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:28, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 14:07, Hardwick B. (Behind),
- 15:43, Dawson J. (Behind),
- 18:05, Keays B. (G),
- 20:47, Peatling J. (G),
- 27:15, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 28:42, Watson N. (G),
- 30:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (4 - 15)
- 02:39, Chol M. (Behind),
- 04:31, Keays B. (Behind),
- 07:43, Weddle J. (G),
- 09:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:06, Walker T. (Behind),
- 20:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:45, Walker T. (Behind),
- 23:10, Moore D. (G),
- 27:26, Watson N. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (25 - 36)
- 01:04, Gunston J. (G),
- 03:07, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 05:33, Gunston J. (G),
- 07:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 08:48, Meek L. (Behind),
- 09:52, Watson N. (Behind),
- 11:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:43, Macdonald C. (G),
- 16:58, Fogarty D. (G),
- 19:08, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 22:19, Gunston J. (G),
- 25:26, Pedlar L. (G),
- 27:29, Watson N. (Behind),
- 28:01, Butler S. (G),
- 29:50, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 30:33, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 4th Quarter (18 - 22)
- 01:18, Gunston J. (G),
- 02:52, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 05:15, Rachele J. (G),
- 06:38, Watson N. (Behind),
- 10:03, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 11:53, Butler S. (G),
- 15:40, Newcombe J. (G),
- 18:51, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 21:54, Rachele J. (G),
- 27:26, Soligo J. (G),
Chances of winning
Adelaide Crows
54% | Hawthorn Hawks
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75
(1.75) |
|
2 ↓
(2.03) |
7.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 164.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks?
Users Predictions:
Adelaide Crows will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Adelaide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hawthorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1499:1771. (average 75:88.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 653:784. (average 81.6:98).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Adelaide Crows has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Adelaide Crows?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
01.08.2025
Adelaide Crows
-
Hawthorn Hawks
101:87
13.06.2025
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
47:44
28.07.2024
Adelaide Crows
-
Hawthorn Hawks
58:124
31.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
107:80
22.04.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
76:79
Latest results of Adelaide Crows
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final
