Adelaide Crows vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
67:101
12/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
canadaCanadaTSN 4
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Goals
1014
Behinds
717
Kicks
220222
Handballs
120144
Disposals
340366
Frees For
2418
Frees Against
1824
Clearances Completed
3036
Marks
9885
Tackles
5650
Hitouts
3643

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (20 - 28)
  • 00:28, Gunston J. (G),
  • 01:39, Watson N. (G),
  • 03:27, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 04:17, Amon K. (G),
  • 10:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 12:28, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 14:07, Hardwick B. (Behind),
  • 15:43, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 18:05, Keays B. (G),
  • 20:47, Peatling J. (G),
  • 27:15, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 28:42, Watson N. (G),
  • 30:44, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (4 - 15)
  • 02:39, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 04:31, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 07:43, Weddle J. (G),
  • 09:45, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:06, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 20:20, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:45, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 23:10, Moore D. (G),
  • 27:26, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (25 - 36)
  • 01:04, Gunston J. (G),
  • 03:07, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 05:33, Gunston J. (G),
  • 07:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 08:48, Meek L. (Behind),
  • 09:52, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 11:21, (Behind Rushed),
  • 12:43, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:58, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 19:08, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 22:19, Gunston J. (G),
  • 25:26, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 27:29, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 28:01, Butler S. (G),
  • 29:50, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 30:33, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (18 - 22)
  • 01:18, Gunston J. (G),
  • 02:52, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 05:15, Rachele J. (G),
  • 06:38, Watson N. (Behind),
  • 10:03, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 11:53, Butler S. (G),
  • 15:40, Newcombe J. (G),
  • 18:51, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 21:54, Rachele J. (G),
  • 27:26, Soligo J. (G),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
54%
Hawthorn Hawks
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%

Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(1.75)

2
(2.03)
7.4%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • Users Predictions: Adelaide Crows will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
    • Adelaide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hawthorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1499:1771. (average 75:88.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 653:784. (average 81.6:98).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 101:87
    13.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 47:44
    28.07.2024 Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks 58:124
    31.05.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 107:80
    22.04.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 76:79
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks