Result
01/08/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
Chances of winning
Adelaide Crows
65.7% | Hawthorn Hawks
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.49) |
|
2.7 ↑
(2.66) |
7.7%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 165.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
- Adelaide is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hawthorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1398:1684. (average 73.6:88.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 552:697. (average 78.9:99.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Adelaide Crows has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Adelaide Crows?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
13.06.2025
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
47:44
28.07.2024
Adelaide Crows
-
Hawthorn Hawks
58:124
31.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
107:80
22.04.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
76:79
Latest results of Adelaide Crows
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Collingwood Magpies | 19 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1742:1290 | 135.04 | 60 |
| 2 | Adelaide Crows | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 1918:1314 | 145.97 | 56 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 1689:1524 | 110.83 | 54 |
| 4 | Geelong Cats | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1949:1452 | 134.23 | 52 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1677:1399 | 119.87 | 52 |
| 6 | Fremantle Dockers | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1636:1464 | 111.75 | 52 |
| 7 | GWS Giants | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1766:1586 | 111.35 | 52 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 2165:1577 | 137.29 | 48 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Suns | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 1677:1403 | 119.53 | 48 |
| 10 | Sydney Swans | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 1499:1596 | 93.92 | 36 |
| 11 | Port Adelaide Power | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 1419:1706 | 83.18 | 32 |
| 12 | Carlton Blues | 19 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 1450:1554 | 93.31 | 28 |
| 13 | Melbourne Demons | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1532:1703 | 89.96 | 24 |
| 14 | St Kilda Saints | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 1535:1777 | 86.38 | 24 |
| 15 | Essendon Bombers | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 1227:1712 | 71.67 | 24 |
| 16 | Richmond Tigers | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 1223:1796 | 68.10 | 20 |
| 17 | North Melbourne | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 1422:1954 | 72.77 | 18 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 19 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1249:1968 | 63.47 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
