Result
 
                    67:101
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        12/09/2025 at  05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | AFL, Fox Footy | 
|  Canada | TSN 4 | 
|  Germany | Sportdigital1+ | 
|  New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 7 | 17 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 220 | 222 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 120 | 144 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 340 | 366 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 24 | 18 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 18 | 24 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 30 | 36 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 98 | 85 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56 | 50 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 36 | 43 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (20 - 28)
- 00:28, Gunston J. (G), 
- 01:39, Watson N. (G), 
- 03:27, Worpel J. (Behind), 
- 04:17, Amon K. (G), 
- 10:01,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 12:28, Thiltorpe R. (G), 
- 14:07, Hardwick B. (Behind), 
- 15:43, Dawson J. (Behind), 
- 18:05, Keays B. (G), 
- 20:47, Peatling J. (G), 
- 27:15, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 28:42, Watson N. (G), 
- 30:44,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 2nd Quarter (4 - 15)
- 02:39, Chol M. (Behind), 
- 04:31, Keays B. (Behind), 
- 07:43, Weddle J. (G), 
- 09:45,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 19:06, Walker T. (Behind), 
- 20:20,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 21:45, Walker T. (Behind), 
- 23:10, Moore D. (G), 
- 27:26, Watson N. (Behind), 
- 3rd Quarter (25 - 36)
- 01:04, Gunston J. (G), 
- 03:07, Thiltorpe R. (G), 
- 05:33, Gunston J. (G), 
- 07:47, Macdonald C. (Behind), 
- 08:48, Meek L. (Behind), 
- 09:52, Watson N. (Behind), 
- 11:21,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 12:43, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 16:58, Fogarty D. (G), 
- 19:08, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 22:19, Gunston J. (G), 
- 25:26, Pedlar L. (G), 
- 27:29, Watson N. (Behind), 
- 28:01, Butler S. (G), 
- 29:50, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 30:33, Thiltorpe R. (G), 
- 4th Quarter (18 - 22)
- 01:18, Gunston J. (G), 
- 02:52, Weddle J. (Behind), 
- 05:15, Rachele J. (G), 
- 06:38, Watson N. (Behind), 
- 10:03, Weddle J. (Behind), 
- 11:53, Butler S. (G), 
- 15:40, Newcombe J. (G), 
- 18:51, Weddle J. (Behind), 
- 21:54, Rachele J. (G), 
- 27:26, Soligo J. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Adelaide Crows 54%
 | Hawthorn Hawks 46%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.75 (1.75)
 | 
 | 2 ↓ (2.03)
 | 7.4% (6.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Adelaide Crows will win 
                    (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Adelaide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hawthorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1499:1771. (average 75:88.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 653:784. (average 81.6:98).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
                            Adelaide Crows has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Adelaide Crows?
                    
                    
                        
                             Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.08.2025 
                                Adelaide Crows 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                101:87
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.06.2025 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Adelaide Crows 
                                47:44
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.07.2024 
                                Adelaide Crows 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                58:124
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.05.2024 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Adelaide Crows 
                                107:80
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.04.2023 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Adelaide Crows 
                                76:79
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Adelaide Crows                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks