Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (279/365) | 83% (431/517) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (279/365) | 83% (431/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 24% (13/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/106) | 63% (80/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Sorensen V. 🟨,
- 45', Thomsen T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Thomsen T. ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 0, Thomsen T. ⚽, Jakobsen N. (A),
- 66', Bust L. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
- 66', Rolland B. ↓, Pisani A. ↑,
- 66', Kaastrup M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 67', Ryberg M. ↓, Egerton E. ↑,
- 74', Holvad A. 🟨,
- 76', Riisgaard L. ↓, Abdullahi Y. ↑,
- 81', Thomsen T. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
- 84', Andersen K. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
- 87', Larsen G. ↓, Choukri A. ↑,
- 87', Gothler A. ↓, Mudi ↑,
- 87', Brodersen R. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
28.8% | Draw
25.2% | Aarhus Fremad
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HB Køge's performance.Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aarhus Fremad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HB Køge that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aarhus Fremad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↓
(3.9) |
3.69 ↓
(3.77) |
2.04 ↑
(1.77) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad?
Users Predictions:
HB Køge will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aarhus Fremad could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Aarhus Fremad?
HB Køge has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against HB Køge?
Aarhus Fremad has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
23.11.2025
Aarhus Fremad
-
HB Køge
2:2
25.07.2025
HB Køge
-
Aarhus Fremad
2:1
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 35:24 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:30 | 4 | 38 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 | Horsens | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Superliga
