Result
2:1
25/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 2
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (218/290) | 85% (511/600) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (218/290) | 85% (511/600) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (52/89) | 78% (145/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Jakobsen N. ⚽,
- 8', Bust L. 🟨,
- 21', Sorensen M. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 45', Larsen G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Culhaci G. ↓, Mudi ↑,
- 50', Baekgard S. 🟨,
- 54', Gothler A. 🟨,
- 60', Hald S. 🟥,
- 61', 1 - 1, de Claville Berthelsen M. (Pen),
- 62', Andersen K. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
- 62', Kaastrup M. ↓, Kubel M. ↑,
- 69', Bust L. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 69', Gothler A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 73', Agnarsson M. 🟨,
- 81', Baekgard S. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 81', Hjaltason O. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
- 86', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 90', Westergren M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Andreasen O. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Dorgu I. ⚽, Larsen S. (A),
Chances of winning
HB Køge
38% | Draw
26.7% | Aarhus Fremad
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HB Køge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.16) |
3.55 ↑
(3.35) |
2.74 ↓
(3.13) |
5.3%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Køge: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Køge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Køge has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Aarhus Fremad?
HB Køge has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against HB Køge?
Aarhus Fremad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kolding IF | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Horsens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Hillerod | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Koge | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | B.93 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Hvidovre IF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Aarhus Fremad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Hobro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
