HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad
Result
2:1
25/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 2
  • Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.282.68
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
628
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
75% (218/290)85% (511/600)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.282.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.32
Total shots
628
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
09
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
314
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1739
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
99
Passes
75% (218/290)85% (511/600)
Long passes
35% (23/65)33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
58% (52/89)78% (145/187)
Crosses
0% (0/10)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.66
Throw-ins
1427
Fouls
99
Tackles
71% (10/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3551
Clearances
2914
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
1.321.68
Goals prevented
0.17-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Jakobsen N. ,
  • 8', Bust L. 🟨,
  • 21', Sorensen M. , Gothler A. ,
  • 45', Larsen G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Culhaci G. , Mudi ,
  • 50', Baekgard S. 🟨,
  • 54', Gothler A. 🟨,
  • 60', Hald S. 🟥,
  • 61', 1 - 1, de Claville Berthelsen M. (Pen),
  • 62', Andersen K. , Beluli J. ,
  • 62', Kaastrup M. , Kubel M. ,
  • 69', Bust L. , Sorensen V. ,
  • 69', Gothler A. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 73', Agnarsson M. 🟨,
  • 81', Baekgard S. , Holvad A. ,
  • 81', Hjaltason O. , Kjolby M. ,
  • 86', Jensen Tue C. , Dorgu I. ,
  • 90', Westergren M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Andreasen O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Dorgu I. , Larsen S. (A),

Chances of winning


HB Køge
38%
Draw
26.7%
Aarhus Fremad
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 27.6% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26.8% 28.7%

HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.46
(2.16)
3.55
(3.35)
2.74
(3.13)
5.3%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Køge: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Køge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Køge has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of HB Køge
    18.07.2025 HB Køge - Hobro 2:0
    12.07.2025 HB Køge - Vendsyssel 4:0
    08.07.2025 Hvidovre - HB Køge 4:2
    05.07.2025 HB Køge - Middelfart 5:0
    20.06.2025 Ringsted - HB Køge 2:4
    Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby1685335:191629
    2Hillerod1685325:20529
    3Horsens1674521:14725
    4Hvidovre IF1567221:16525
    5Aalborg1573527:20724
    6Esbjerg1572619:20-123
    7Kolding IF1664620:19122
    8B.931663720:27-721
    9Aarhus Fremad1646624:22218
    10Koge1652919:30-1117
    11Hobro1636717:27-1015
    12Middelfart1515912:26-148

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )