Lokomotiv Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
25/05/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
20
Blocked Shots
37
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1512
Throw-ins
721
Fouls
913
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Ganev C. 🟨,
  • 24', Petrovic M. 🟨,
  • 30', Velchev K. , Cavar B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Dikov S. , Delev S. ,
  • 51', Ganev C. , Gigov N. ,
  • 56', Nenov Y. , Arkhipov V. ,
  • 56', Chachev K. , Gogev E. ,
  • 56', Manolkov E. , Borisov K. ,
  • 71', Metanov N. , Drinov N. ,
  • 71', Rosa M. , Paskulov D. ,
  • 72', Tsoumou J. , Lazarov L. ,
  • 73', Pitsolis A. , Ivanov L. ,
  • 78', Cavar B. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Diarra M. ,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Aralica A. (Pen),
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Aralica A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Sofia
59.8%
Draw
22.1%
Hebar Pazardzhik
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.5% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 19.3% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.46)
    4.18
    (4.51)
    5.1
    (5.71)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hebar will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hebar Pazardzhik will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2.
    • Lokomotiv Sofia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hebar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lokomotiv Sofia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lokomotiv Sofia: Acka D. (Knee Injury) Stanoev K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Hebar: Guermouche Y. (Yellow Cards) Makni N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hebar: Angelov Y. (Injury)
    • We predict that Lokomotiv Sofia will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia 2:1
    27.09.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 0:0
    28.04.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:2
    16.02.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:1
    18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 0:1
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 30224464:224270
    2Ludogorets ✔ 29179357:193860
    3CSKA Sofia ✔ 30168643:232056
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ 29175746:311556
    5Lok. Plovdiv ✔ 301113630:33-346
    6Cherno More ✔ 291111733:221144
    7Arda ✔ 291181032:27541
    8Botev Plovdiv301171240:37340
    9Slavia Sofia291081136:33338
    10Botev Vratsa ✔ 309111024:26-238
    11Lok. Sofia309101140:39137
    12Dobrudzha ✔ 30751823:43-2026
    13Spartak Varna ✔ 295111325:50-2526
    14Septemvri Sofia ✔ 29741825:58-3325
    15Beroe ✔ 304111519:44-2523
    16Montana ✔ 29371915:45-3016

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Arda is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Botev Vratsa is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )