Result
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Excelsior
33.7% | Draw
25.4% | Heerenveen
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Excelsior - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(2.88) |
3.73 ↑
(3.48) |
2.31 ↑
(2.29) |
5.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 2.
- Recent form of Excelsior has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Heerenveen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Heerenveen?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Excelsior?
Heerenveen has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Heerenveen were as follows:
04.10.2025
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
2:1
19.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Heerenveen
3:0
23.09.2023
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
0:3
13.05.2023
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
0:0
22.12.2022
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
1:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
