Result
04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
59.1% | Draw
21.8% | Excelsior
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Heerenveen - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.72) |
4.39 ↑
(3.95) |
4.97 ↑
(4.48) |
4.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Excelsior?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Heerenveen is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Excelsior?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Heerenveen?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Excelsior were as follows:
19.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Heerenveen
3:0
23.09.2023
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
0:3
13.05.2023
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
0:0
22.12.2022
Heerenveen
-
Excelsior
1:0
05.11.2022
Excelsior
-
Heerenveen
0:1
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
