Excelsior vs Heerenveen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Excelsior - Heerenveen
Result
3:0
19/01/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 18
  • Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN

Chances of winning


Excelsior
31%
Draw
26%
Heerenveen
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 25.8% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 26.3% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Excelsior - Heerenveen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.8)
    3.66
    (3.65)
    2.21
    (2.33)
    5.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Excelsior - Heerenveen?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 50.6%85.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Heerenveen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Heerenveen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Heerenveen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Ali H. (National selection)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Donkor J. (Knee Injury) Eyongo R. (Ankle Injury) Fein A. (Illness) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Seymor S. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Nicolaescu I. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22-25.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Heerenveen were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Heerenveen - Excelsior 0:3
    13.05.2023 Heerenveen - Excelsior 0:0
    22.12.2022 Heerenveen - Excelsior 1:0
    05.11.2022 Excelsior - Heerenveen 0:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    16.01.2024 Excelsior - Groningen 0:2
    13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 3:1
    07.01.2024 Excelsior - St. Pauli Canceled
    19.12.2023 Spakenburg - Excelsior 2:3
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    13.01.2024 Zwolle - Heerenveen 2:2
    21.12.2023 Vitesse - Heerenveen 1:0
    16.12.2023 Heerenveen - Volendam 1:2
    07.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:0
    01.12.2023 Heerenveen - Almere City 3:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

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