Heracles Almelo vs Heerenveen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Asito Stadium (Almelo).

Eredivisie - Round 17
Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	1.76
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
8	15
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
78% (275/353)	83% (413/500)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	2.03
Total shots
8	15
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
4	11
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
12	33
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
4	5
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
78% (275/353)	83% (413/500)
Long passes
35% (21/60)	37% (22/60)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)	71% (86/121)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	1.34
Throw-ins
11	17
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
62% (8/13)	33% (4/12)
Duels won
47	46
Clearances
19	29
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
2.03	0.28
Goals prevented
-0.97	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Vente D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Vente D. (A),
62', Kulenovic L. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
63', Meerveld R. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
67', te Wierik M. 🟨,
73', Bruns T. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Zagaritis V. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
79', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
86', Kersten S. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
86', Vente D. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
87', Trenskow J. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 3, Rivera M. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning

Heracles Almelo
27.5%

Draw
25.3%

Heerenveen
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

25.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

24.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heerenveen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.08)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	2.01 ↓ (2.14)	5.5% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 42% – 87.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Heracles: Mesik I. (Yellow Cards) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Heerenveen?

Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Heracles Almelo?

Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen were as follows:

15.03.2025 Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo 1:1

27.09.2024 Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen 2:1

14.04.2024 Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen 0:2

28.10.2023 Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo 3:0

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

16.12.2025 Heracles Almelo - Hoogeveen 4:1 ✺

13.12.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo 4:3 ✺

06.12.2025 Heracles Almelo - Telstar 1:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Heerenveen

17.12.2025 Feyenoord - Heerenveen 2:3 ✺

14.12.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen 0:3 ✺

06.12.2025 Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven 0:2 ✺

28.11.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 2:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	28	22	2	4	78:37	41	68
2	Feyenoord	28	16	5	7	61:40	21	53
3	Nijmegen	28	14	8	6	69:47	22	50
4	Ajax	28	12	12	4	53:35	18	48
5	Twente	28	12	11	5	47:30	17	47
6	AZ Alkmaar	28	12	6	10	47:45	2	42
7	Utrecht	28	11	8	9	42:31	11	41
8	Heerenveen	28	11	8	9	49:46	3	41
9	Sparta Rotterdam	28	12	5	11	35:47	-12	41
10	Groningen	28	11	5	12	40:37	3	38
11	Sittard	28	10	5	13	43:52	-9	35
12	Zwolle	28	8	9	11	38:53	-15	33
13	G.A. Eagles	28	7	11	10	45:45	0	32
14	Telstar	28	6	9	13	38:46	-8	27
15	FC Volendam	28	7	6	15	30:48	-18	27
16	Excelsior	28	7	6	15	29:47	-18	27
17	NAC Breda	28	5	8	15	29:50	-21	23
18	Heracles	28	5	4	19	33:70	-37	19

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