Heerenveen vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo
Result
1:1
15/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 26
  • Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.39
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
196
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
112
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
101
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
158
Offsides
11
Fouls
815
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2916
Touches in the Opposition Box
2710
Passes
88% (497/562)78% (246/317)
Passes in the final third
78% (126/161)57% (39/69)
Crosses
26% (8/31)25% (2/8)
Tackles
86% (12/14)75% (15/20)
Clearances Total
1738
Interceptions
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Hornkamp J. , De Keersmaecker B. (A),
  • 23', Bruns T. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Linday M. , Kohlert M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bruns T. , Zamburek J. ,
  • 46', Podgoreanu S. , Engels M. ,
  • 60', Wieckhoff J. , Benita M. ,
  • 72', Lukovic M. , Nicolaescu I. ,
  • 82', Sebaoui I. , Gurbuz E. ,
  • 89', Talvitie J. , Limbombe B. ,

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
51.4%
Draw
26.4%
Heracles Almelo
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 23.8% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 24.4% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.77)
    3.58
    (3.96)
    4.3
    (4.09)
    5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 4.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Heerenveen is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Trenskow J. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Brouwers L. (Injury) van der Hart M. (Arm Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 33:27 (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen 2:1
    14.04.2024 Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen 0:2
    28.10.2023 Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo 3:0
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1
    02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    16.02.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 1:1
    09.02.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 3:3
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV330012:399
    2Nijmegen22009:186
    3Feyenoord22004:136
    4Zwolle22003:036
    5Sparta Rotterdam32016:7-16
    6AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    7Ajax21104:224
    8Utrecht21015:233
    9NAC Breda21012:3-13
    10Groningen31025:9-43
    11FC Volendam20203:302
    12G.A. Eagles30214:7-32
    13Sittard20113:4-11
    14Heerenveen20112:3-11
    15Twente20020:3-30
    16Telstar20020:4-40
    17Excelsior20021:7-60
    18Heracles20021:8-70

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