Telstar vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Telstar
70.6%
Draw
17.1%
Heracles Almelo
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 16.7% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4% 15.8% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Telstar - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.36)
    5.51
    (5.66)
    7.77
    (6.87)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • Heracles is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    • Recent performances by Telstar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Heracles has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Telstar is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:18. (average 0.2:3.6).
    • Including home match between the teams, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Heracles Almelo - Telstar 1:1
    24.02.2023 Heracles Almelo - Telstar 7:0
    16.09.2022 Telstar - Heracles Almelo 0:3
    Latest results of Telstar
    02.05.2026 NEC Nijmegen - Telstar 1:1
    22.04.2026 Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam 4:1
    11.04.2026 Utrecht - Telstar 4:1
    04.04.2026 Telstar - Groningen 0:2
    22.03.2026 Telstar - PSV Eindhoven 3:1
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap

    Quarter-finals
    1WaalwijkWillem II0 : 1
    2Almere CityDe Graafschap

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye