Result
5:0
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 22
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.19 | 0.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/537) | 74% (268/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.19 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.04 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/537) | 74% (268/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (143/173) | 63% (69/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 4.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Zerrouki R. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Rots M. ⚽,
- 44', Rots D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', van Axel Dongen A. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 52', Willemsen M. 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 0, Rots D. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
- 61', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 61', Kersten S. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 63', 4 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽,
- 69', Zerrouki R. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 69', Propper R. ↓, Nijstad R. ↑,
- 69', Brouwers L. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 75', Braude O. 🟨,
- 75', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 79', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 82', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 82', Rots D. ↓, Groenewald N. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 0, Lammers S. ⚽, Verschueren A. (A),
- 86', Rivera M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Twente
59% | Draw
22.1% | Heerenveen
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Twente - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.77) |
4.26 ↑
(3.67) |
5 ↑
(4.17) |
5.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Twente - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 35.9% – 78.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Twente (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Twente has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Heerenveen has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Twente is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Nordas L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Heerenveen?
Twente has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Twente?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Heerenveen were as follows:
24.08.2025
Heerenveen
-
Twente
1:2
09.02.2025
Heerenveen
-
Twente
3:3
17.09.2024
Twente
-
Heerenveen
2:0
03.04.2024
Heerenveen
-
Twente
3:3
30.09.2023
Twente
-
Heerenveen
1:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
