Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (373/448) | 80% (337/422) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.46 | 2.17 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (373/448) | 80% (337/422) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (29/57) | 37% (19/52) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (73/113) | 61% (69/114) |
Crosses |
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30% (6/20) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.41 | 0.96 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 47 |
Clearances |
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35 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.17 | 1.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.17 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, El Karouani S. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Vente D. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
- 42', Eerdhuijzen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Murkin D. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 46', Vesterlund N. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 46', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
- 60', van Overeem J. 🟨,
- 63', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
- 64', Trenskow J. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 68', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 68', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Vente D. ⚽, Sejk V. (A),
- 79', Linday M. ↓, Kersten S. ↑,
- 80', Rivera M. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 87', Meerveld R. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Min D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrecht 50.3% | Draw 25.7% | Heerenveen 24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Utrecht - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.7) |
3.7 ↓ (3.95) |
4.01 ↓ (4.38) |
3.3% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Heerenveen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Inactive)
Demircan E.
(Injury)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Jensen V.
(Muscle Injury)
de Wit D.
(Foot Injury)
van den Berg D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Hopland N.
(Injury)
Kersten S.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Heerenveen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Utrecht?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Heerenveen were as follows:
30.03.2025
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
2:0
17.08.2024
Heerenveen
-
Utrecht
1:1
07.04.2024
Heerenveen
-
Utrecht
2:3
20.08.2023
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
0:2
04.02.2023
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
1:0
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie