Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/448) | 80% (337/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/448) | 80% (337/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 61% (69/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, El Karouani S. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Vente D. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
- 42', Eerdhuijzen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Murkin D. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 46', Vesterlund N. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 46', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
- 60', van Overeem J. 🟨,
- 63', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
- 64', Trenskow J. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 68', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 68', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Vente D. ⚽, Sejk V. (A),
- 79', Linday M. ↓, Kersten S. ↑,
- 80', Rivera M. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 87', Meerveld R. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Min D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
50.3% | Draw
25.7% | Heerenveen
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Utrecht - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.7) |
3.7 ↓
(3.95) |
4.01 ↓
(4.38) |
3.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Heerenveen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Inactive)
Demircan E.
(Injury)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Jensen V.
(Muscle Injury)
de Wit D.
(Foot Injury)
van den Berg D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Hopland N.
(Injury)
Kersten S.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Heerenveen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Utrecht?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Heerenveen were as follows:
30.03.2025
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
2:0
17.08.2024
Heerenveen
-
Utrecht
1:1
07.04.2024
Heerenveen
-
Utrecht
2:3
20.08.2023
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
0:2
04.02.2023
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
1:0
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:6 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Sittard | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:22 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Heracles | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7:27 | -20 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
