Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 21
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (531/604) | 82% (324/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (531/604) | 82% (324/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (50/68) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (150/203) | 71% (48/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽, Braude O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Willemsen M. 🟨,
- 52', Didden M. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Karlsson J. ⚽, Alarcon A. (A),
- 64', Karlsson J. ↓, Cathline Y. ↑,
- 64', Bozdogan C. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
- 68', Rivera M. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 72', Alarcon A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 85', Zechiel G. ↓, Stepanov A. ↑,
- 86', Meerveld R. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 89', Cathline Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
51.5% | Draw
26.2% | Utrecht
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heerenveen - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.14) |
3.62 ↑
(3.45) |
4.22 ↑
(3.17) |
5.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Utrecht will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 56.1% – 90.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Utrecht (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.
- Heerenveen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Utrecht has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Heerenveen is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Kersten S.
(Yellow Cards)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Alarcon A.
(Inactive)
Eerdhuijzen M.
(Injury)
Eppink M.
(Foot Injury)
Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
Karlsson J.
(Inactive)
Min D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Kersten S.
(Injury)
Petrov H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Utrecht?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Heerenveen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Utrecht were as follows:
28.09.2025
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
2:2
30.03.2025
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
2:0
17.08.2024
Heerenveen
-
Utrecht
1:1
07.04.2024
Heerenveen
-
Utrecht
2:3
20.08.2023
Utrecht
-
Heerenveen
0:2
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
