Elversberg vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Relegation - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
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andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSAT1
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilSporTV 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanySAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
kosovoKosovoSuperSport 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSAT1
thailandThailandbeIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
83% (453/548)70% (201/289)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.41
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
812
Passes
83% (453/548)70% (201/289)
Long passes
52% (32/62)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
57% (66/116)47% (35/74)
Crosses
8% (1/12)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.57
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
128
Tackles
76% (13/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
3754
Clearances
1229
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.410.70
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Honsak M. , Scienza L. (A),
  • 18', Sahin S. , Sickinger C. ,
  • 23', Pieringer M. , Zivzivadze B. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Fellhauer R. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 43', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Kerber L. 🟨,
  • 68', Zimmerschied T. 🟨,
  • 78', Kerber L. , Dorsch N. ,
  • 78', Honsak M. , Wanner P. ,
  • 79', Wanner P. 🟨,
  • 86', Zimmerschied T. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Scienza L. , Wanner P. (A),
  • 90+7', Petkov L. , Feil M. ,
  • 90+7', Damar M. , Ebnoutalib Y. ,
  • 90+7', Scienza L. , Gimber B. ,
  • 90+7', Kratzig F. , Fohrenbach J. ,

Chances of winning


Elversberg
44.6%
Draw
27%
Heidenheim
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.1% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.7% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elversberg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elversberg - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.47)
    3.57
    (3.66)
    3.35
    (2.72)
    3.9%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 61.4%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Elversberg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Elversberg (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25, 1st Half - Elversberg (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Elversberg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Elversberg (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Elversberg (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Elversberg (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elversberg will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 20 - 80%). Heidenheim (votes: 3 - 12%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • Elversberg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Heidenheim has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.
    • Elversberg might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Heidenheim were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    Latest results of Elversberg
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    18.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:2
    04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    17.05.2025 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 1:4
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 282341100:277373
    2Dortmund28197260:283264
    3RB Leipzig28165755:361953
    4Stuttgart28165756:381853
    5Hoffenheim28155855:411450
    6Bayer Leverkusen28147758:391949
    7Eintracht Frankfurt28109952:53-139
    8Freiburg281071141:47-637
    9Mainz28891135:43-833
    10Union Berlin28881232:47-1532
    11Augsburg28951434:51-1732
    12Hamburger SV287101132:41-931
    13B. Monchengladbach28791235:48-1330
    14Werder Bremen28771431:49-1828
    15FC Koln28691340:49-927
    16St. Pauli28671525:45-2025
    17Wolfsburg28561738:63-2521
    18Heidenheim28371829:63-3416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )