Elversberg vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Relegation - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSAT1
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilSporTV 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanySAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
kosovoKosovoSuperSport 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSAT1
thailandThailandbeIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
83% (453/548)70% (201/289)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.41
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
812
Passes
83% (453/548)70% (201/289)
Long passes
52% (32/62)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
57% (66/116)47% (35/74)
Crosses
8% (1/12)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.57
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
128
Tackles
76% (13/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
3754
Clearances
1229
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.410.70
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Honsak M. , Scienza L. (A),
  • 18', Sahin S. , Sickinger C. ,
  • 23', Pieringer M. , Zivzivadze B. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Fellhauer R. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 43', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Kerber L. 🟨,
  • 68', Zimmerschied T. 🟨,
  • 78', Kerber L. , Dorsch N. ,
  • 78', Honsak M. , Wanner P. ,
  • 79', Wanner P. 🟨,
  • 86', Zimmerschied T. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Scienza L. , Wanner P. (A),
  • 90+7', Petkov L. , Feil M. ,
  • 90+7', Damar M. , Ebnoutalib Y. ,
  • 90+7', Scienza L. , Gimber B. ,
  • 90+7', Kratzig F. , Fohrenbach J. ,

Chances of winning


Elversberg
44.6%
Draw
27%
Heidenheim
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.1% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.7% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elversberg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elversberg - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.47)
    3.57
    (3.66)
    3.35
    (2.72)
    3.9%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 61.4%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Elversberg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Elversberg (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25, 1st Half - Elversberg (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Elversberg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Elversberg (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Elversberg (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Elversberg (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 20 - 80%). Heidenheim (votes: 3 - 12%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • Elversberg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Heidenheim has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.
    • Elversberg might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Heidenheim were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    Latest results of Elversberg
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    18.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:2
    04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    22.05.2025 Heidenheim - Elversberg 2:2
    17.05.2025 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 1:4
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 312641113:328182
    2Dortmund31207465:313467
    3RB Leipzig31195762:382462
    4Stuttgart31176863:432057
    5Hoffenheim31176861:451657
    6Bayer Leverkusen31167862:422055
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3111101056:58-243
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg311071439:55-1637
    10Mainz318101339:49-1034
    11B. Monchengladbach317111336:50-1432
    12Werder Bremen31881536:54-1832
    13Union Berlin31881535:55-2032
    14FC Koln317101445:53-831
    15Hamburger SV317101434:50-1631
    16St. Pauli31681726:53-2726
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim31571935:66-3122

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
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