Result
2:4
07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 25
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (255/354) | 78% (332/428) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (255/354) | 78% (332/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (40/80) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (56/107) | 62% (89/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 20% (3/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Prass A. ⚽, Asllani F. (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Prass A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
- 46', Pieringer M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 3, Asllani F. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 3, Kerber L. ⚽, Behrens H. (A),
- 63', Traore O. H. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
- 63', Dorsch N. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 65', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 72', Schoppner J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 77', Hajdari A. ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
- 77', Kramaric A. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 4, Lemperle T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 84', 2 - 4, Kerber L. ⚽, Behrens H. (A),
- 87', Asllani F. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
- 88', Toure B. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heidenheim
18.2% | Draw
20.7% | Hoffenheim
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Heidenheim - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.24 ↑
(4.66) |
4.59 ↑
(4.32) |
1.57 ↓
(1.65) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Hoffenheim?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Hoffenheim (1.84) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Heidenheim (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - Heidenheim (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hoffenheim will win
(42 of 50 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.84% – 94.16%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 4 - 20%). Hoffenheim (votes: 16 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
- Heidenheim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hoffenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Hoffenheim is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Hoffenheim?
Heidenheim has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Heidenheim?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Hoffenheim were as follows:
25.10.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Heidenheim
3:1
09.03.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Heidenheim
1:1
27.10.2024
Heidenheim
-
Hoffenheim
0:0
27.01.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Heidenheim
1:1
26.08.2023
Heidenheim
-
Hoffenheim
2:3
Latest results of Heidenheim
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
