Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (429/525) | 72% (246/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (429/525) | 72% (246/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 44% (38/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/123) | 60% (55/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Lemperle T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dorsch N. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
- 46', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 46', Gimber B. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
- 57', Hajdari A. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 67', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 67', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
- 67', Beck A. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽, Fohrenbach J. (A),
- 76', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 76', Asllani F. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
- 78', Traore O. H. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
- 83', Kramaric A. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
- 89', Schoppner J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
64.4% | Draw
20.4% | Heidenheim
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Hoffenheim - Heidenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
4.88 ↑
(4.32) |
6.87 ↑
(4.97) |
1.2%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Heidenheim?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 64.6% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Heidenheim (4.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
- Hoffenheim has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Heidenheim has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Hoffenheim is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Foot Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S.
(Knee Injury)
Feller F.
(Knee Injury)
Kaufmann M.
(Muscle Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Heidenheim?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Hoffenheim?
Heidenheim has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Heidenheim were as follows:
09.03.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Heidenheim
1:1
27.10.2024
Heidenheim
-
Hoffenheim
0:0
27.01.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Heidenheim
1:1
26.08.2023
Heidenheim
-
Hoffenheim
2:3
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Heidenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 71:14 | 57 | 50 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 35:17 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:21 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 33 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 38:39 | -1 | 27 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:27 | -3 | 24 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:38 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:34 | -13 | 18 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:35 | -15 | 16 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 13 |
| 17 | Mainz | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 12 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:31 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
