Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.591.08
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
82% (429/525)72% (246/344)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.591.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.930.65
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
82% (429/525)72% (246/344)
Long passes
47% (33/70)44% (38/86)
Passes in final third
62% (76/123)60% (55/91)
Crosses
10% (2/20)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.00
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1413
Tackles
86% (6/7)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5364
Clearances
4144
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.652.93
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Asllani F. , Kramaric A. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Lemperle T. , Toure B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Dorsch N. , Honsak M. ,
  • 46', Zivzivadze B. , Schimmer S. ,
  • 46', Gimber B. , Niehues J. ,
  • 57', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Kramaric A. , Toure B. (A),
  • 67', Burger W. , Promel G. ,
  • 67', Toure B. , Prass A. ,
  • 67', Beck A. , Busch M. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Schimmer S. , Fohrenbach J. (A),
  • 76', Lemperle T. , Moerstedt M. ,
  • 76', Asllani F. , Damar M. ,
  • 78', Traore O. H. , Pieringer M. ,
  • 83', Kramaric A. , Kabak O. ,
  • 89', Schoppner J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
64.4%
Draw
20.4%
Heidenheim
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 22.1% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.5% 18.7%

Hoffenheim - Heidenheim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.62)
4.88
(4.32)
6.87
(4.97)
1.2%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
    • Hoffenheim has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Heidenheim has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Heidenheim were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    27.10.2024 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 0:0
    27.01.2024 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    26.08.2023 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2:3
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1
    20.09.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 1:4
    13.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:4
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    18.10.2025 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 2:2
    05.10.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 1:0
    27.09.2025 Heidenheim - Augsburg 2:1
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga