Result
0:0
28/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 18
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (582/659) | 75% (228/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (582/659) | 75% (228/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (43/63) | 44% (26/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (133/185) | 56% (38/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mulders R. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
- 60', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 68', Bergsen M. 🟨,
- 68', Rolke T. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,
- 68', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
- 73', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 73', Ingason H. ↓, Geerts D. ↑,
- 75', Galvez T. 🟨,
- 76', Balk R. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
- 85', van der Sande J. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
- 86', Et Taibi A. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
- 86', Absalem A. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
- 90+5', Makanza N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambuur
64.4% | Draw
19.8% | Helmond Sport
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambuur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Cambuur - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.61) |
4.75 ↑
(4.1) |
5.84 ↑
(4.7) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Cambuur - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
Cambuur will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambuur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1.
- Cambuur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Helmond Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Helmond Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cambuur is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Helmond Sport?
Cambuur has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Cambuur?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - Helmond Sport were as follows:
18.04.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Cambuur
1:1
18.08.2024
Cambuur
-
Helmond Sport
0:1
10.05.2024
Cambuur
-
Helmond Sport
1:1
01.09.2023
Helmond Sport
-
Cambuur
2:1
Latest results of Cambuur
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
