Result
0:1
16/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (323/409) | 86% (527/612) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (323/409) | 86% (527/612) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 59% (41/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (51/79) | 70% (111/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽,
- 11', Geerts D. 🟨,
- 42', Absalem A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Geerts D. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
- 55', Absalem A. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
- 55', Dekkers S. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 62', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
- 62', Balk R. ↓, Diemers M. ↑,
- 75', Sjostrand O. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
- 75', Galvez T. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
- 79', Makanza N. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
- 83', Vos D. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
- 89', Mulders R. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport
21% | Draw
22.4% | Cambuur
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Helmond Sport - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.44 ↑
(4.31) |
4.18 ↑
(4) |
1.65 ↓
(1.66) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cambuur will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambuur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
- Helmond Sport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cambuur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cambuur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cambuur has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cambuur is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambuur: Diemers M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:38. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Cambuur?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Helmond Sport?
Cambuur has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Cambuur were as follows:
28.11.2025
Cambuur
-
Helmond Sport
0:0
18.04.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Cambuur
1:1
18.08.2024
Cambuur
-
Helmond Sport
0:1
10.05.2024
Cambuur
-
Helmond Sport
1:1
01.09.2023
Helmond Sport
-
Cambuur
2:1
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 33 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 74:32 | 42 | 77 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 66:37 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Willem II | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 53 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Almere City | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 68:53 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 62:58 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 56:50 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 58:59 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 46:57 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Venlo | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 48:56 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 36 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 39:66 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 57:66 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Helmond | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 45:59 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Oss | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
