Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
03/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 22
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.270.32
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
63
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
71
Passes
84% (405/483)76% (287/378)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.270.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.570.43
Total shots
196
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
71
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
72
Free kicks
158
Passes
84% (405/483)76% (287/378)
Long passes
53% (31/58)47% (34/73)
Passes in final third
70% (81/116)59% (55/94)
Crosses
21% (4/19)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.45
Throw ins
1213
Fouls
815
Tackles
32% (8/25)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
1515
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.432.57
Goals prevented
0.43-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Koglin B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Codutti L. , Rossi N. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Darelas A. ,
  • 59', Zimuangana O. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 59', Lukowicz M. , Leipold A. ,
  • 60', Bae S. , Vetkal M. ,
  • 61', de Bie J. , Venema N. ,
  • 68', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 69', Dekkers S. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 69', Geerts D. , Ludwig M. ,
  • 71', Bergsen M. 🟨,
  • 72', 2 - 0, M'Bemba Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Yoon D. , van Aken J. ,
  • 84', Carrillo S. , van Asten R. ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Venema N. , Valk S. (A),
  • 86', Essakkati T. , Makanza N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
54.5%
Draw
23.6%
Helmond Sport
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 25.8% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 25% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.
  • Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helmond Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dordrecht that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helmond Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dordrecht - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.13)
    3.95
    (3.57)
    4.28
    (2.98)
    6.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Dordrecht (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 9 - 75%). Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to bad weather.
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4.
    • Dordrecht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Helmond Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dordrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Dordrecht 1:2
    08.02.2025 Helmond Sport - Dordrecht 0:1
    10.11.2024 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 4:0
    12.01.2024 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 2:0
    23.10.2023 Helmond Sport - Dordrecht 1:1
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    30.01.2026 Vitesse - Dordrecht 1:2
    23.01.2026 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 3:2
    18.01.2026 Waalwijk - Dordrecht 1:1
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1
    12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    26.01.2026 Jong PSV - Helmond Sport 4:0
    16.01.2026 Helmond Sport - Vitesse 2:2
    21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2
    12.12.2025 Emmen - Helmond Sport 4:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

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