Result
3:0
03/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 22
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/483) | 76% (287/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/483) | 76% (287/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/116) | 59% (55/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Koglin B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Codutti L. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Darelas A. ⚽,
- 59', Zimuangana O. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 59', Lukowicz M. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
- 60', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 61', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 68', Vos D. 🟨,
- 69', Dekkers S. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 69', Geerts D. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
- 71', Bergsen M. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 0, M'Bemba Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
- 84', Carrillo S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 0, Venema N. ⚽, Valk S. (A),
- 86', Essakkati T. ↓, Makanza N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht
54.5% | Draw
23.6% | Helmond Sport
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helmond Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dordrecht that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helmond Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dordrecht - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.13) |
3.95 ↑
(3.57) |
4.28 ↑
(2.98) |
6.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Dordrecht (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 9 - 75%). Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4.
- Dordrecht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Helmond Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dordrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T.
(Knee Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
Valk S.
(Knee Injury)
Van de Giessen L.
(Ankle Injury)
de Bie J.
(Injury)
van Vianen D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Helmond Sport?
Dordrecht has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Dordrecht?
Helmond Sport has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Helmond Sport were as follows:
24.10.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Dordrecht
1:2
08.02.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Dordrecht
0:1
10.11.2024
Dordrecht
-
Helmond Sport
4:0
12.01.2024
Dordrecht
-
Helmond Sport
2:0
23.10.2023
Helmond Sport
-
Dordrecht
1:1
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
