Excelsior vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/02/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 26
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.93
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
93
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
123
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Free Kicks
915
Offsides
02
Fouls
159
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1917
Touches in the Opposition Box
3115
Passes
85% (451/528)68% (175/257)
Passes in the final third
79% (131/166)49% (29/59)
Crosses
18% (7/38)17% (2/12)
Tackles
76% (13/17)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
1751
Interceptions
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Tielemans M. 🟨,
  • 16', Dekkers S. 🟨,
  • 35', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. , Golliard T. (A),
  • 60', van Duinen M. , Rosario R. ,
  • 60', Tielemans M. , Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 75', Dekkers S. , Pachonik T. ,
  • 75', Dizdarevic A. , Van Himbeeck A. ,
  • 77', Eijgenraam J. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 77', Fini S. , Donkor J. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Omorowa R. , Donkor J. (A),
  • 84', Golliard T. , Ostrc E. ,
  • 89', Essakkati T. , Bisselink S. ,
  • 90+4', Daneels L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
63.8%
Draw
21.2%
Helmond Sport
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 18.7% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 18.1% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.
  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Excelsior - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.34)
    4.42
    (4.94)
    6.19
    (7.59)
    7.1%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Helmond Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Excelsior is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:17 (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Helmond Sport - Excelsior 0:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    10.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Excelsior 3:2
    01.02.2025 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:3
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )