Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven
Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.30
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
74% (251/341)79% (362/456)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.08
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
718
Passes
74% (251/341)79% (362/456)
Long passes
43% (35/81)59% (50/85)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)63% (79/126)
Crosses
9% (2/22)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.15
Throw-ins
1437
Fouls
187
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3668
Clearances
3621
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.081.22
Goals prevented
0.080.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Essakkati T. 🟨,
  • 13', Poll T. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. , Essakkati T. (A),
  • 39', Douglas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 57', Essakkati T. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 68', Poll T. , Absalem A. ,
  • 69', Lukowicz M. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 73', Haddaoui Z. , Dorenbosch D. ,
  • 74', Lukoki Mateso E. , Mununga T. ,
  • 81', Llonch P. 🟨,
  • 83', Huisman D. , Essers C. ,
  • 84', Blummel S. , Hoek M. ,
  • 84', Leipold A. , Ludwig M. ,
  • 84', Et Taibi A. , Van Den Eynden F. ,
  • 90', Neeskens J. , Bryson A. ,

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
59.7%
Draw
23.6%
FC Eindhoven
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.
  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.92)
    4.14
    (3.8)
    6.2
    (3.37)
    2.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
    • Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • FC Eindhoven is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    28.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 2:2
    22.11.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    03.05.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 2:0
    20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 1:2
    12.05.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 0:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    20.09.2025 Vitesse - Helmond Sport 3:1
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0
    04.09.2025 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 1:2
    29.08.2025 Roda - FC Eindhoven 0:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1262415:19-420
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

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