Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 8
Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.30
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	6
Passes
74% (251/341)	79% (362/456)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.22	0.08
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
6	7
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
7	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	6
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
7	18
Passes
74% (251/341)	79% (362/456)
Long passes
43% (35/81)	59% (50/85)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)	63% (79/126)
Crosses
9% (2/22)	26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	1.15
Throw-ins
14	37
Fouls
18	7
Tackles
67% (8/12)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
36	68
Clearances
36	21
Interceptions
7	1
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.08	1.22
Goals prevented
0.08	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Essakkati T. 🟨,
13', Poll T. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
39', Douglas T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Vos D. 🟨,
57', Essakkati T. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
68', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
69', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
73', Haddaoui Z. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
74', Lukoki Mateso E. ↓, Mununga T. ↑,
81', Llonch P. 🟨,
83', Huisman D. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
84', Blummel S. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
84', Leipold A. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
84', Et Taibi A. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
90', Neeskens J. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
59.7%

Draw
23.6%

FC Eindhoven
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.92)	4.14 ↑ (3.8)	6.2 ↑ (3.37)	2.1% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
FC Eindhoven is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against FC Eindhoven?

Helmond Sport has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FC Eindhoven won against Helmond Sport?

FC Eindhoven has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven were as follows:

28.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 2:2

22.11.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 3:4

03.05.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 2:0

20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 1:2

12.05.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 0:1

Latest results of Helmond Sport

20.09.2025 Vitesse - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1 ✺

29.08.2025 ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0 ✺

Latest results of FC Eindhoven

19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4 ✺

15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0 ✺

12.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag 0:1 ✺

04.09.2025 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

29.08.2025 Roda - FC Eindhoven 0:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	12	11	1	0	35:8	27	34
2	Cambuur	13	8	3	2	26:17	9	27
3	Roda	13	7	4	2	25:16	9	25
4	Jong PSV	13	6	3	4	25:21	4	21
5	Waalwijk	13	6	3	4	24:20	4	21
6	Willem II	12	6	2	4	15:19	-4	20
7	Den Bosch	13	6	2	5	24:27	-3	20
8	Dordrecht	13	5	4	4	18:17	1	19
9	Venlo	13	6	0	7	19:18	1	18
10	De Graafschap	12	4	4	4	19:19	0	16
11	FC Emmen	13	5	1	7	22:25	-3	16
12	Helmond	13	5	1	7	16:19	-3	16
13	Jong Utrecht	13	4	3	6	16:21	-5	15
14	Maastricht	12	4	2	6	13:19	-6	14
15	Jong AZ	13	4	2	7	21:24	-3	14
16	Oss	13	3	5	5	18:24	-6	14
17	Almere City	13	3	2	8	23:23	0	11
18	Eindhoven FC	13	3	2	8	9:27	-18	11
19	Jong Ajax	13	1	5	7	19:26	-7	8
20	Vitesse	11	4	3	4	22:19	3	3

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