Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven
Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.30
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
74% (251/341)79% (362/456)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.08
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
718
Passes
74% (251/341)79% (362/456)
Long passes
43% (35/81)59% (50/85)
Passes in final third
55% (50/91)63% (79/126)
Crosses
9% (2/22)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.15
Throw-ins
1437
Fouls
187
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3668
Clearances
3621
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.081.22
Goals prevented
0.080.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Essakkati T. 🟨,
  • 13', Poll T. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
  • 39', Douglas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 57', Essakkati T. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
  • 68', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
  • 69', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
  • 73', Haddaoui Z. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
  • 74', Lukoki Mateso E. ↓, Mununga T. ↑,
  • 81', Llonch P. 🟨,
  • 83', Huisman D. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
  • 84', Blummel S. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
  • 84', Leipold A. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
  • 84', Et Taibi A. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
  • 90', Neeskens J. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
59.7%		Draw
23.6%		FC Eindhoven
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.
  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.62 ↓
    (1.92)    		 4.14 ↑
    (3.8)    		 6.2 ↑
    (3.37)    		 2.1%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
    • Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • FC Eindhoven is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    28.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 2:2
    22.11.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    03.05.2024 Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven 2:0
    20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 1:2
    12.05.2023 FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport 0:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    20.09.2025 Vitesse - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺
    16.09.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    29.08.2025 ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport 2:0 ✺
    22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4 ✺
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0 ✺
    12.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag 0:1 ✺
    04.09.2025 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 1:2
    29.08.2025 Roda - FC Eindhoven 0:0 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

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