Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
34.2%
Draw
26.8%
VVV-Venlo
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 25.3% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 24.8% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helmond Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.4)
    3.45
    (3.65)
    2.41
    (2.55)
    7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
    • Helmond Sport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Venlo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 30:42. (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 4:1
    30.08.2024 Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo 3:0
    01.03.2024 Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo 1:1
    01.10.2023 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 0:4
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    11.04.2026 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:3
    06.04.2026 Jong PSV - VVV-Venlo 1:0
    03.04.2026 VVV-Venlo - Cambuur 3:0
    20.03.2026 Emmen - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    17.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Jong PSV361751465:59656
    6Almere City361741573:591455
    7Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    8Roda3614121057:50754
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Vitesse3615101163:531043
    13Venlo361261847:55-842
    14FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    15Jong Utrecht351091652:61-939
    16Oss369111648:62-1438
    17Jong AZ361142159:73-1437
    18Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    19Helmond36991840:61-2136
    20Jong Ajax36882049:71-2232

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie