Helmond Sport vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.373.14
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
80% (306/382)84% (395/470)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.373.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.072.22
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2628
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
80% (306/382)84% (395/470)
Long passes
46% (27/59)49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
59% (44/75)72% (113/156)
Crosses
26% (5/19)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.16
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1911
Tackles
75% (9/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
4021
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.223.07
Goals prevented
0.221.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Geerts D. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Besselink G. , Ciranni A. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. , Et Taibi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Geerts D. , Llonch P. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Et Taibi A. , Ingason H. (A),
  • 52', Culum A. 🟨,
  • 62', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 62', El Allouchi M. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 62', Culum A. , Bamba S. ,
  • 66', Leipold A. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 74', Et Taibi A. 🟨,
  • 74', Behounek R. , Verheydt T. ,
  • 75', Tjoe a On N. , Hoogma J. ,
  • 78', Essakkati T. , Koglin B. ,
  • 78', Ingason H. , Absalem A. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Haen D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 83', Hoogma J. 🟨,
  • 83', van Aalst U. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 88', Van Den Eynden F. , Semic L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
35.8%
Draw
26.7%
Willem II
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.1% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 26.5% 38.4%

Helmond Sport - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.62
(2.64)
3.48
(3.44)
2.5
(2.49)
7%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
    • Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Willem II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Willem II were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0
    29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1
    14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Latest results of Willem II
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0
    28.11.2025 Den Bosch - Willem II 2:1
    21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag25182562:293356
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV26134954:48643
    4De Graafschap26126849:40942
    5Almere City251231053:411239
    6Willem II25116834:34039
    7Roda26109743:40339
    8Waalwijk26107943:40337
    9Dordrecht26107937:36137
    10Venlo261121335:39-435
    11Den Bosch261041245:48-334
    12Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    13Eindhoven FC25941235:45-1031
    14Maastricht26861232:50-1830
    15FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    16Helmond26851333:45-1229
    17Jong AZ26821644:53-926
    18Oss26681233:44-1126
    19Vitesse2698939:40-123
    20Jong Ajax25471433:50-1719

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