Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (308/397) | 83% (345/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (308/397) | 83% (345/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/73) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 66% (48/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Behounek R. 🟨,
- 32', Leipold A. 🟨,
- 33', Verheydt T. (Pen),
- 44', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. ⚽, Bamba S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 57', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 62', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
- 63', Verheydt T. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 63', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 70', Essakkati T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
- 79', Doodeman N. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 85', Ciranni A. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
- 85', van Aalst U. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
- 86', Leipold A. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
- 90+1', Poll T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
49.7% | Draw
25.2% | Helmond Sport
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Willem II - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.85) |
3.71 ↓
(3.84) |
3.78 ↓
(3.85) |
6.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Willem II - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
Willem II will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
- Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Helmond Sport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Helmond Sport?
Willem II has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Willem II?
Helmond Sport has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Helmond Sport were as follows:
29.03.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Willem II
0:2
15.12.2023
Willem II
-
Helmond Sport
4:1
03.02.2023
Willem II
-
Helmond Sport
5:1
14.10.2022
Helmond Sport
-
Willem II
1:3
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
