Willem II vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Willem II - Helmond Sport
Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.95
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (308/397)83% (345/417)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.51
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
78% (308/397)83% (345/417)
Long passes
41% (30/73)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)66% (48/73)
Crosses
41% (7/17)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.53
Throw-ins
2815
Fouls
1213
Tackles
88% (7/8)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4054
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.511.07
Goals prevented
0.510.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Behounek R. 🟨,
  • 32', Leipold A. 🟨,
  • 33', Verheydt T. (Pen),
  • 44', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. , Bamba S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Van Den Eynden F. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 57', Lukowicz M. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 62', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
  • 63', Verheydt T. , Culum A. ,
  • 63', El Allouchi M. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 70', Essakkati T. , Ingason H. ,
  • 79', Doodeman N. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 85', Ciranni A. , van Loon P. ,
  • 85', van Aalst U. , Stam F. ,
  • 86', Leipold A. , Geerts J. ,
  • 90+1', Poll T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
49.7%
Draw
25.2%
Helmond Sport
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 23.9% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Willem II - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.85)
    3.71
    (3.84)
    3.78
    (3.85)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Willem II - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: Willem II will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
    • Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Helmond Sport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1
    14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3
    Latest results of Willem II
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    06.09.2025 Cambuur - Willem II 2:2
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1262415:19-420
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )