Helmond Sport vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.373.14
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
80% (306/382)84% (395/470)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.373.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.072.22
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2628
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
80% (306/382)84% (395/470)
Long passes
46% (27/59)49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
59% (44/75)72% (113/156)
Crosses
26% (5/19)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.16
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1911
Tackles
75% (9/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
4021
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.223.07
Goals prevented
0.221.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Geerts D. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Besselink G. , Ciranni A. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. , Et Taibi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Geerts D. , Llonch P. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Et Taibi A. , Ingason H. (A),
  • 52', Culum A. 🟨,
  • 62', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 62', El Allouchi M. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 62', Culum A. , Bamba S. ,
  • 66', Leipold A. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 74', Et Taibi A. 🟨,
  • 74', Behounek R. , Verheydt T. ,
  • 75', Tjoe a On N. , Hoogma J. ,
  • 78', Essakkati T. , Koglin B. ,
  • 78', Ingason H. , Absalem A. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Haen D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 83', Hoogma J. 🟨,
  • 83', van Aalst U. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 88', Van Den Eynden F. , Semic L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
35.8%
Draw
26.7%
Willem II
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.1% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 26.5% 38.4%

Helmond Sport - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.62
(2.64)
3.48
(3.44)
2.5
(2.49)
7%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
    • Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Willem II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Willem II were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0
    29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1
    14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Latest results of Willem II
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0
    28.11.2025 Den Bosch - Willem II 2:1
    21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag21171357:233452
    2Cambuur22155248:232550
    3De Graafschap22114742:35737
    4Almere City22112947:351235
    5Roda2298538:32635
    6Jong PSV22104844:44034
    7Willem II2296729:30-133
    8Den Bosch221021041:41032
    9Waalwijk2286834:34030
    10Venlo221001229:33-430
    11Jong Utrecht2285938:40-229
    12FC Emmen22841039:43-428
    13Eindhoven FC22831129:43-1427
    14Dordrecht2267927:32-525
    15Helmond22741131:38-725
    16Maastricht22741127:41-1425
    17Oss2258930:37-723
    18Jong AZ23721436:46-1023
    19Jong Ajax23371331:45-1416
    20Vitesse2176833:35-215

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