Willem II vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.95
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (308/397)83% (345/417)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.51
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
78% (308/397)83% (345/417)
Long passes
41% (30/73)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)66% (48/73)
Crosses
41% (7/17)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.53
Throw-ins
2815
Fouls
1213
Tackles
88% (7/8)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4054
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.511.07
Goals prevented
0.510.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Behounek R. 🟨,
  • 32', Leipold A. 🟨,
  • 33', Verheydt T. (Pen),
  • 44', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. , Bamba S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Van Den Eynden F. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 57', Lukowicz M. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 62', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
  • 63', Verheydt T. , Culum A. ,
  • 63', El Allouchi M. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 70', Essakkati T. , Ingason H. ,
  • 79', Doodeman N. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 85', Ciranni A. , van Loon P. ,
  • 85', van Aalst U. , Stam F. ,
  • 86', Leipold A. , Geerts J. ,
  • 90+1', Poll T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
49.7%
Draw
25.2%
Helmond Sport
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 23.9% 23.8%

Willem II - Helmond Sport Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(1.85)
3.71
(3.84)
3.78
(3.85)
6.6%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Willem II - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: Willem II will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
    • Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Helmond Sport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1
    14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3
    Latest results of Willem II
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    06.09.2025 Cambuur - Willem II 2:2
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag18161151:163549
    2Cambuur19125241:221941
    3De Graafschap1894534:26831
    4Jong PSV1994637:35231
    5Den Bosch1992838:38029
    6Willem II1985625:27-229
    7Roda1977530:27328
    8Almere City1982938:31726
    9Waalwijk1975730:31-126
    10FC Emmen1974833:34-125
    11Dordrecht1966722:24-224
    12Venlo19801124:29-524
    13Jong Utrecht1865726:30-423
    14Helmond19721026:30-423
    15Eindhoven FC19631022:36-1421
    16Jong AZ19621129:36-720
    17Oss1948721:30-920
    18Maastricht19541023:35-1219
    19Jong Ajax19261126:38-1212
    20Vitesse1865729:30-111

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )