Helmond Sport vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 21
Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.37	3.14
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
4	7
Corner Kicks
8	8
Passes
80% (306/382)	84% (395/470)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37	3.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.07	2.22
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	7
Corner Kicks
8	8
Touches in opposition box
26	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
11	19
Passes
80% (306/382)	84% (395/470)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
59% (44/75)	72% (113/156)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	1.16
Throw-ins
16	13
Fouls
19	11
Tackles
75% (9/12)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
48	56
Clearances
40	21
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
2.22	3.07
Goals prevented
0.22	1.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Geerts D. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Besselink G. ⚽, Ciranni A. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Geerts D. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Et Taibi A. ⚽, Ingason H. (A),
52', Culum A. 🟨,
62', Vos D. 🟨,
62', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
62', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
66', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
74', Et Taibi A. 🟨,
74', Behounek R. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
75', Tjoe a On N. ↓, Hoogma J. ↑,
78', Essakkati T. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
78', Ingason H. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Haen D. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Hoogma J. 🟨,
83', van Aalst U. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
88', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Semic L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
35.8%

Draw
26.7%

Willem II
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1%)

Helmond Sport - Willem II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.64)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)	2.5 ↑ (2.49)	7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Willem II?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Willem II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.8:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Willem II?

Helmond Sport has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Helmond Sport?

Willem II has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Willem II were as follows:

30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0

29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2

15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1

03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1

14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3

Latest results of Helmond Sport

12.12.2025 Emmen - Helmond Sport 4:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4 ✺

28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Willem II

18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺

12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺

28.11.2025 Den Bosch - Willem II 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	29	22	2	5	70:30	40	68
2	Cambuur	28	19	6	3	60:32	28	63
3	De Graafschap	29	14	7	8	55:44	11	49
4	Jong PSV	29	14	5	10	59:53	6	47
5	Roda	29	12	10	7	49:43	6	46
6	Willem II	29	13	7	9	41:36	5	46
7	Almere City	29	13	3	13	60:50	10	42
8	Waalwijk	29	11	8	10	47:44	3	41
9	Dordrecht	29	11	8	10	39:38	1	41
10	Den Bosch	29	11	6	12	51:53	-2	39
11	Venlo	29	11	4	14	38:43	-5	37
12	Eindhoven FC	29	10	4	15	41:53	-12	34
13	FC Emmen	28	9	6	13	43:51	-8	33
14	Jong Utrecht	29	8	9	12	47:52	-5	33
15	Helmond	29	9	5	15	36:53	-17	32
16	Maastricht	29	8	7	14	35:58	-23	31
17	Jong AZ	29	9	3	17	49:57	-8	30
18	Vitesse	29	10	9	10	43:45	-2	27
19	Oss	29	6	9	14	35:50	-15	27
20	Jong Ajax	29	6	8	15	40:53	-13	26

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