Willem II vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Willem II - Helmond Sport
Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.95
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (308/397)83% (345/417)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.51
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
78% (308/397)83% (345/417)
Long passes
41% (30/73)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)66% (48/73)
Crosses
41% (7/17)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.53
Throw-ins
2815
Fouls
1213
Tackles
88% (7/8)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4054
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.511.07
Goals prevented
0.510.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Behounek R. 🟨,
  • 32', Leipold A. 🟨,
  • 33', Verheydt T. (Pen),
  • 44', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. , Bamba S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Van Den Eynden F. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 57', Lukowicz M. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 62', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
  • 63', Verheydt T. , Culum A. ,
  • 63', El Allouchi M. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 70', Essakkati T. , Ingason H. ,
  • 79', Doodeman N. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 85', Ciranni A. , van Loon P. ,
  • 85', van Aalst U. , Stam F. ,
  • 86', Leipold A. , Geerts J. ,
  • 90+1', Poll T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
49.7%
Draw
25.2%
Helmond Sport
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 23.9% 23.8%

Willem II - Helmond Sport Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(1.85)
3.71
(3.84)
3.78
(3.85)
6.6%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Willem II - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: Willem II will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
    • Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Helmond Sport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1
    14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3
    Latest results of Willem II
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    06.09.2025 Cambuur - Willem II 2:2
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag14131043:113240
    2Cambuur15103234:181633
    3Jong PSV1583430:24627
    4Roda1575326:21526
    5Den Bosch1572628:30-223
    6De Graafschap1464425:21422
    7Waalwijk1564527:26122
    8Willem II1564519:24-522
    9Venlo1570822:20221
    10Dordrecht1555518:18020
    11FC Emmen1562726:28-220
    12Helmond1561821:22-119
    13Almere City1552828:23517
    14Jong Utrecht1544718:24-616
    15Oss1536619:28-915
    16Maastricht1543818:29-1115
    17Jong AZ1542921:28-714
    18Eindhoven FC1542912:30-1814
    19Jong Ajax1516820:30-109
    20Vitesse1353524:2406

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )