Result
2:0
12/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/369) | 76% (268/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/369) | 76% (268/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 61% (43/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (123/162) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Zhong Yihao ⚽,
- 41', Zhong Yihao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 46', Guga ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 49', Wu Shaocong 🟨,
- 60', Cao Yongjing ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
- 62', Bai Yang 🟨,
- 75', Wu Shaocong ↓, He Yupeng ↑,
- 75', Li Lei ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
- 77', Wang Gang 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 0, Felippe Cardoso (Pen),
- 89', Acheampong F. ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
- 89', Zhong Yihao ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
- 90+5', Bruno Nazario ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
- 90+5', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Liu Yixin ↑,
- 90+7', Felippe Cardoso ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
Chances of winning
Henan Songshan Longmen
37.6% | Draw
24.2% | Beijing Guoan
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(3.04) |
3.85 ↑
(3.7) |
2.42 ↑
(2) |
6.5%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Henan Jianye: Lu Yongtao
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Fan Shuangjie
(Yellow Cards)
Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
Zhang Yuan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Henan Jianye: Yin Hongbo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Dawhan
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Henan Songshan Longmen won against Beijing Guoan?
Henan Songshan Longmen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Henan Songshan Longmen?
Beijing Guoan has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
25.04.2025
Beijing Guoan
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
02.11.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1
15.06.2024
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Beijing Guoan
2:1
04.08.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
3:1
05.05.2023
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Beijing Guoan
0:1
Latest results of Henan Songshan Longmen
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 57:34 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 52:29 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 51:34 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 54:38 | 16 | 41 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 48:36 | 12 | 37 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:48 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 29:36 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 40:41 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:46 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 29:52 | -23 | 20 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:38 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
