Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan
Result
2:0
12/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
237
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
80% (297/369)76% (268/351)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.390.32
Total shots
237
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
193
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
80% (297/369)76% (268/351)
Long passes
56% (30/54)61% (43/70)
Passes in final third
76% (123/162)63% (65/104)
Crosses
24% (5/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.581.13
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1116
Tackles
65% (11/17)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
1631
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.322.39
Goals prevented
0.320.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Zhong Yihao ,
  • 41', Zhong Yihao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zhang Xizhe , Zhang Yuning ,
  • 46', Guga , Serginho ,
  • 49', Wu Shaocong 🟨,
  • 60', Cao Yongjing , Yang Liyu ,
  • 62', Bai Yang 🟨,
  • 75', Wu Shaocong , He Yupeng ,
  • 75', Li Lei , Zhang Yuan ,
  • 77', Wang Gang 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Felippe Cardoso (Pen),
  • 89', Acheampong F. , Gerbig O. ,
  • 89', Zhong Yihao , Huang Zichang ,
  • 90+5', Bruno Nazario , Yang Yilin ,
  • 90+5', Huang Ruifeng , Liu Yixin ,
  • 90+7', Felippe Cardoso , Liu Xinyu ,

Chances of winning


Henan Songshan Longmen
37.6%
Draw
24.2%
Beijing Guoan
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 24.6% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 23.6% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.
  • Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (3.04)
    3.85
    (3.7)
    2.42
    (2)
    6.5%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beijing Guoan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Henan Jianye: Lu Yongtao (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Fan Shuangjie (Yellow Cards) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury) Zhang Yuan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Henan Jianye: Yin Hongbo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Dawhan (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:0
    02.11.2024 Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:1
    15.06.2024 Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan 2:1
    04.08.2023 Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen 3:1
    05.05.2023 Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan 0:1
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan26127757:411643
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger26127736:32443
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Qingdao West Coast2699835:38-336
    9Dalian Yingbo26961126:40-1433
    10Yunnan Yukun26881039:50-1132
    11Henan Songshan Longmen26851345:44129
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng26621830:55-2520
    14Meizhou Hakka26551631:57-2620
    15Qingdao Hainiu26391425:40-1518
    16Changchun Yatai26461624:43-1918

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