Tucson Roadrunners vs Henderson Silver Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:7 OT
11/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3530
Shooting PCT
17.14% (6/35)23.33% (7/30)
Goalkeeper Saves
2329
Saves PCT
76.67% (23/30)82.86% (29/35)
Penalties
63
PIM
126
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)33.33% (2/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (4/6)100% (3/3)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (5 - 2)
  • 03:15, 0 - 1, Lavoie R. (G),
  • 04:30, 1 - 1, Poganski A. (G), But D. (A), Moore L. (A2)
  • 05:13, 2 - 1, Perunovich S. (G), Hebig C. (A),
  • 05:42, 3 - 1, Hebig C. (G), Lutz J. (A), Russo R. (A2)
  • 06:21, 4 - 1, Tullio T. (G), Simashev D. (A), Luypen J. (A2)
  • 08:11, 4 - 2, Megna J. (G), Holtz A. (A), Cormier L. (A2)
  • 16:31, 5 - 2, Lutz J. (G), Russo R. (A), Agozzino A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 4)
  • 00:11, 5 - 3, Lavoie R. (G), Laczynski T. (A), Hemmerling B. (A2)
  • 08:46, 5 - 4, Sapovaliv M. (G), Holtz A. (A), Davies J. (A2)
  • 15:15, 5 - 5, Connelly T. (G), Laczynski T. (A), Cormier L. (A2)
  • 16:02, 6 - 5, Poganski A. (G), Agozzino A. (A), Villalta M. (A2)
  • 19:25, 6 - 6, Connelly T. (G), Holtz A. (A), Uchacz K. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 01:38, 6 - 7, Lavoie R. (G),

Chances of winning


Tucson Roadrunners
35.6%
Draw
22.1%
Henderson Silver Knights
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 22.9% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 25.2% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tucson Roadrunners's form might have worsened.
  • Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henderson Silver Knights's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.24)
    4.2
    (3.98)
    2.23
    (2.5)
    7.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tucson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tucson has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 67:59. (average 3.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 3.4:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights were as follows:
    10.03.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights 0:5
    25.01.2026 Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners 2:3
    24.01.2026 Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners 4:3
    05.10.2025 Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners 2:0
    04.10.2025 Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners 2:1
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )