Result
1:1
11/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 18
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/494) | 80% (283/353) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (91/122) | 73% (83/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/34) | 38% (8/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 82% (14/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Mirani D. 🟨,
- 29', Eerdhuijzen M. 🟨,
- 30', Talvitie J. 🟨,
- 45', Bakari S. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
- 45+1', Young M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Milani L. ↓, Hoogma J. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Mito S. ⚽, Neghli C. (A),
- 65', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 65', Talvitie J. ↓, Podgoreanu S. ↑,
- 66', Zand S. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
- 71', Podgoreanu S. 🟨,
- 78', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 78', Mirani D. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 86', Neghli C. ↓, van der Kust D. ↑,
- 90', Young M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Hoogma J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Verschueren A. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4ctc23dn
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
30.5% | Draw
28.6% | Sparta Rotterdam
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.74) |
3.31 ↓
(3.46) |
2.32 ↓
(2.47) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1.
- Recent matches Heracles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sparta Rotterdam has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Heracles: Kulenovic L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Bultman S.
(Injury)
Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Hoogma J.
(Head Injury)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Bakari S.
(Injury)
de Guzman J.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Heracles won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Heracles Almelo?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
11.08.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heracles Almelo
0:0
06.04.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heracles Almelo
1:2
02.12.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Volendam | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Twente | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | NAC Breda | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
