Result
2:0
11/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 18
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/401) | 80% (308/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/401) | 80% (308/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/121) | 69% (68/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Lauritsen T. ⚽, Mito S. (A),
- 17', Martes L. 🟨,
- 28', van Crooij V. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Mirani D. 🟨,
- 64', Ahlstrand E. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 64', te Wierik M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 69', Santos A. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
- 71', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
- 76', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 82', Bruns T. 🟨,
- 85', Kulenovic L. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
- 85', Mirani D. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 0, Clement P. ⚽, Lauritsen T. (A),
- 90+3', Mito S. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
- 90+3', Kitolano J. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sparta Rotterdam
54.3% | Draw
25.2% | Heracles Almelo
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.8) |
3.74 ↓
(3.8) |
4.57 ↑
(4.17) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sparta Rotterdam will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Rotterdam will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Sparta Rotterdam is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Sambo S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Injury)
Milani L.
(Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Benita M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Heracles Almelo?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
27.09.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Sparta Rotterdam
3:0
11.01.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
11.08.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heracles Almelo
0:0
06.04.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heracles Almelo
1:2
02.12.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
