Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (328/417) | 82% (377/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (328/417) | 82% (377/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (74/119) | 66% (91/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.00 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Scheperman S. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 16', Sambo S. 🟨,
- 33', Benita M. 🟨,
- 41', Martins Indi B. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Limbombe B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benita M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 46', Mirani D. 🟨,
- 59', Toornstra J. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Borges Sanches Y. ⚽, Zamburek J. (A),
- 68', Clement P. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
- 68', Sambo S. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
- 69', Ltaief S. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
- 76', van Gilst T. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 76', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 81', Borges Sanches Y. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 84', Kitolano J. 🟨,
- 86', van Bergen M. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
45.4% | Draw
26.9% | Sparta Rotterdam
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Rotterdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+18%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(3.18) |
3.82 ↑
(3.55) |
3.94 ↑
(2.11) |
-3.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
- Heracles has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Sparta Rotterdam will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Heracles Almelo?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
11.01.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
11.08.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heracles Almelo
0:0
06.04.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heracles Almelo
1:2
02.12.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Twente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
