Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam).

Eredivisie - Round 18
Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.39	0.33
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
9	2
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
9	5
Passes
83% (333/401)	80% (308/387)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
2.39	0.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.44	0.15
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
8	1
Shots inside the box
13	3
Shots outside the box
9	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
31	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
16	6
Passes
83% (333/401)	80% (308/387)
Long passes
56% (33/59)	51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
69% (83/121)	69% (68/98)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.23	0.49
Throw ins
17	23
Fouls
6	16
Tackles
56% (9/16)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
45	34
Clearances
26	25
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.15	2.44
Goals prevented
0.15	0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Lauritsen T. ⚽, Mito S. (A),
17', Martes L. 🟨,
28', van Crooij V. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Mirani D. 🟨,
64', Ahlstrand E. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
64', te Wierik M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
69', Santos A. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
71', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
76', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
82', Bruns T. 🟨,
85', Kulenovic L. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
85', Mirani D. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Clement P. ⚽, Lauritsen T. (A),
90+3', Mito S. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
90+3', Kitolano J. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Sparta Rotterdam
54.3%

Draw
25.2%

Heracles Almelo
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.6%

22.4%

Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	4.57 ↑ (4.17)	6.1% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sparta Rotterdam will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Rotterdam will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Sparta Rotterdam is the team to beat.
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Sambo S. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y. (Injury) Milani L. (Injury) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Heracles: Benita M. (Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Heracles Almelo?

Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Sparta Rotterdam?

Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo were as follows:

27.09.2025 Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam 3:0

11.01.2025 Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1

11.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo 0:0

06.04.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo 1:2

02.12.2023 Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1

Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam

21.12.2025 Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1 ✺

18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺

14.12.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen 0:3 ✺

07.12.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

29.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

20.12.2025 Heracles Almelo - Heerenveen 0:3 ✺

16.12.2025 Heracles Almelo - Hoogeveen 4:1 ✺

13.12.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo 4:3 ✺

06.12.2025 Heracles Almelo - Telstar 1:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	22	19	2	1	66:26	40	59
2	Feyenoord	22	13	3	6	52:32	20	42
3	Nijmegen	21	12	5	4	56:35	21	41
4	Ajax	22	10	9	3	42:29	13	39
5	Sparta Rotterdam	22	11	3	8	29:36	-7	36
6	Twente	22	8	10	4	36:24	12	34
7	AZ Alkmaar	22	9	6	7	37:36	1	33
8	Groningen	22	9	4	9	29:28	1	31
9	Sittard	22	7	5	10	33:38	-5	26
10	Excelsior	22	7	5	10	24:37	-13	26
11	Zwolle	22	7	5	10	31:45	-14	26
12	Heerenveen	21	6	7	8	32:36	-4	25
13	Utrecht	21	6	6	9	30:28	2	24
14	G.A. Eagles	21	4	11	6	32:35	-3	23
15	FC Volendam	22	5	6	11	24:37	-13	21
16	Telstar	22	3	8	11	26:38	-12	17
17	Heracles	22	5	2	15	31:57	-26	17
18	NAC Breda	22	3	7	12	23:36	-13	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie