Southport vs Hereford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, McKenzie M. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Slew J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 3 - 0, McKenzie M. ,
  • 54', 4 - 0, Sze C. ,
  • 71', 5 - 0, Slew J. ,
  • 84', 5 - 1, Munday G. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Southport
42.2%
Draw
27.6%
Hereford
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Southport - Hereford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.03)
    3.36
    (3.36)
    3.04
    (3.24)
    8.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 2.
    • In recent matches, Southport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hereford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Hereford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hereford has had a series of away games.
    • Southport might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Southport won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southport - Hereford were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Hereford - Southport 1:2
    18.01.2025 Hereford - Southport 1:1
    24.08.2024 Southport - Hereford 1:4
    24.02.2024 Southport - Hereford 1:2
    02.09.2023 Hereford - Southport 0:1
    Latest results of Southport
    10.02.2026 Chorley - Southport 4:2
    07.02.2026 Southport - Darlington 2:2
    31.01.2026 Fylde - Southport 0:1
    24.01.2026 Southport - Merthyr Town 1:0
    Latest results of Hereford
    07.02.2026 Hereford - Fylde Postponed
    03.02.2026 Hereford - Marine Postponed
    31.01.2026 Curzon Ashton - Hereford 2:1
    27.01.2026 Hereford - Oxford City Postponed
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde33243682:354775
    2South Shields33228374:284674
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Darlington33168964:471756
    5Kidderminster321511644:35956
    6Radcliffe351741463:55855
    7AFC Telford341411967:462153
    8Scarborough3514111049:44553
    9Macclesfield31157956:461052
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton30881430:55-2532
    23Hereford28771435:50-1528
    24Leamington33472223:59-3619

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation