Southport vs Hereford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, McKenzie M. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Slew J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 3 - 0, McKenzie M. ,
  • 54', 4 - 0, Sze C. ,
  • 71', 5 - 0, Slew J. ,
  • 84', 5 - 1, Munday G. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Southport
42.2%
Draw
27.6%
Hereford
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Southport - Hereford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.03)
    3.36
    (3.36)
    3.04
    (3.24)
    8.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 2.
    • In recent matches, Southport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hereford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Hereford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hereford has had a series of away games.
    • Southport might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Southport won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southport - Hereford were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Hereford - Southport 1:2
    18.01.2025 Hereford - Southport 1:1
    24.08.2024 Southport - Hereford 1:4
    24.02.2024 Southport - Hereford 1:2
    02.09.2023 Hereford - Southport 0:1
    Latest results of Southport
    10.02.2026 Chorley - Southport 4:2
    07.02.2026 Southport - Darlington 2:2
    31.01.2026 Fylde - Southport 0:1
    24.01.2026 Southport - Merthyr Town 1:0
    Latest results of Hereford
    31.01.2026 Curzon Ashton - Hereford 2:1
    10.01.2026 Hereford - Fylde 2:3
    30.12.2025 Merthyr Town - Hereford 2:2
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde4430410104:495594
    2South Shields432710694:405491
    3Kidderminster432212967:481978
    4Macclesfield422371278:601876
    5Scarborough4418151158:50869
    6Chester4419121364:63169
    7Darlington442081676:641268
    8Merthyr Town432141889:791067
    9Buxton432061773:581566
    10AFC Telford4417131484:622264
    11Spennymoor4418101659:68-964
    12Marine421871757:63-661
    13Radcliffe431762073:77-457
    14Southport4315121661:65-457
    15Worksop441592057:72-1554
    16Chorley4414111963:63053
    17Bedford4413121964:75-1151
    18Curzon Ashton4413121964:81-1751
    19Oxford City4313111956:63-750
    20Kingu2019s Lynn4412141855:63-850
    21Hereford421292156:73-1745
    22Alfreton4311122041:75-3445
    23Peterborough Sports ✔ 441082649:86-3738
    24Leamington ✔ 44782938:83-4529

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
    Leamington is Relegated to